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Warren Buffett and everything else versus gold

Below is an excerpt from a commentary originally posted at www.speculative-investor.com on June 14, 2012. We discussed Warren Buffett's illogical opinions about gold in our February 15, 2012, report under the heading "Buffett's Blind Spot." Today we are goi...

The Long-Term Message From The VIX

STOCKS vs. EXPECTED VOLATILITY The VIX measures the market’s expectation of future volatility. We can think of the S&P 500/VIX ratio as a way to track confidence in stocks and earnings relative to confidence the market will be volatile. The S&P 500/VIX ratio is currently in...

Growth Is Crushing Value Right Now, but Take a Long-Term Horizon

Investors are betting on growth stocks over value stocks by a wider spread right now than at any other time since at least 1990, including during the tech bubble. The ratio between the Russell 1000 Growth Index and Russell 1000 Value Index reached a series high of 1....

2019 Market Action Points To Positive Long-Term Outcomes

FOCUS TENDS TO BE SHORT-TERM Investors and traders have a tendency to fall into the recency-bias trap over and over. For example, after the S&P 500 closed at a new weekly high on Friday, July 12, it was easy to believe “the bulls are firmly in control”. Fast forward t...

McAfee (MFE): Bullish sentiment, poor stock performance

Shares of security software concern McAfee Inc. ( NYSE: MFE , Stock Forum ) have been far from impressive this year. The stock has underperformed the struggling S&P 500 Index (SPX) by roughly 17% on a relative-strength basis during the past 60 trading days. What's more, M...

Global Dow Nails Down Bullish Signal

SIGN OF GROWING CONFIDENCE At the end of November, monthly CCI completed a momentum round trip by closing above 100 after closing below -100 in late 2018. CCI helps us track market momentum. The turn that just took place over the last year is typically associated with a si...

The Road Ahead May Be Brighter Than Expectations

THE BIG PICTURE Recent data seems to cast doubt on the seemingly never-ending call for an imminent recession. From a September 20, 2019 Bloomberg article: “The U.S. economy is outperforming expectations by the most this year, offering a fresh rebuttal to last month&C...

Long-term megatrends instead of short-lived hopes for peace: The stable foundation of Almonty Indust

The recent nervousness on the markets is far removed from strategic reality. While short-term hopes for peace are temporarily weighing on defense stocks, long-term geopolitical risks and the pent-up demand of European armed forces are driving up the order books of key sup...

June 18th 2020, Silver Chartbook – Make it your own

Make it your own Trading is often compared to professional sports. This not only due to the competitive element. To produce outstanding performance different methodologies are required to reach elevated performance levels. Successful market participation is not achiev...

Gold, Sliding Silver and Declining Interest Rates

As the Fed turned dovish this year, not only did the short-term interest rates move down – the long- and very-long-term ones also declined. Why would this be the case? After all, the long-term rates are set by market forces, not through Fed’s direct decision… D...
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