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Virus Curve, Market Crash, and Mortgage Massacre

In this last segment of our multi-part research article, we want to highlight our expectations of the Covid-19 virus event and how the next 6+ months of global market activity may play out. We’ve covered some of the data points we believe are important and we...

Will the Fed Going Nuclear Help the Economy and Gold?

On Monday, the Fed introduced QE-infinity. What does it imply for the US economy and the gold market? Fed Drops Bazooka… and Goes Nuclear Instead! On Monday, the Fed pulled out an even larger bazooka than it did previously. Or, forget about the bazooka. The US c...

Fed Slashes Rates to Zero and Introduces QE in Response to COVID-19. Will Gold Rally Now?

On Sunday, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and restarted quantitative easing to stimulate economy hit by the pandemic of COVID-19. That’s already its second move prior to this Wednesday’s FOMC. What does it imply for gold? It&CloseCurl...

Covid19, Bear Markets and Gold

Although I know of some great companies and stocks out there, it is best just to wait. Markets are going a lot lower and investors in the main indexes and techs won't have a recovery in their portfolios for many, many years. Gold is being sold down too at times but the up...

Real Estate Crash The Next Shoe To Drop – Part II

As we continue to delve into the looming Real Estate crisis that will likely hit the US and globe over the next 12 to 24+ months, we want to focus on the human psychological process of dealing with a crisis event and how that relates to economic engagement. In the first part...

Quantum Economics, Negative Interest Rates and Financially Transmitted Diseases

This week the US Federal Reserve announced an emergency rate cut of 0.5% (50bps). It is part of a coordinated effort by central bankers around the world to keep the decade long bull market going a few days longer. Ultra low interest rates and ever depreciating currencie...

Fed Too Late To Prevent A Housing Market Crash?

Real Estate is one of the biggest purchases anyone will make in their lifetime. It can account for 30x to 300x one's annual income and take over 30 years to pay off. After you're done paying for your property, now you have to keep paying to maintain it and to support the prope...

PART II - Fed Too Late To Prevent A Housing Market Crash?

In Part I of this research, we highlighted the Case-Shiller index of home affordability and how it relates to the US real estate market and consumer economic activity going forward. We warned that once consumers start to shift away from an optimistic view of the economy, t...

Warning: Credit Delinquencies To Skyrocket In Q4

Farm delinquencies skyrocket +24% year over year as global trade issues and the ability to service credit continues to be a problem. This is a tell-tale sign that the US Fed decreased the Prime Rate recently as a result of broader credit issues related to higher interest rates...

April 15th 2020, Crypto Chartbook: Evolve or die

Evolve or die That might be too strong a title, but it’s not! The law of evolution is principle based, saying that adoption is required especially in times of rapid change. It is without a question such a time. For example, a successful carburetor spe...
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