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Will Fed‘s Cap On Interest Rates Trigger Gold’s Rally?

Last week, the FOMC released the minutes from its last meeting. What implications do they carry for the gold market? FOMC Finally Acknowledges the Situation As Serious Last week, the FOMC has published minutes of its meeting from April 28-29. They show that the Fed...

Hawkish Rate Cut Sends Gold Prices Down

Yesterday, the Fed trimmed down the interest rates. This was widely expected – yet a blunt ruling out of an extended easing cycle wasn’t. The price of gold profoundly declined. Looking beneath the headline, what happened exactly? Fed Cuts Interest Rates by 2...

Get Ready for a Weaker U.S. Dollar… And Stronger Gold

Unemployment in the U.S. is at a half-century low and the S&P 500 is trading at near-record highs. Nevertheless, the Federal Reserve today trimmed interest rates for the first time since the financial crisis on stalled manufacturing growth and an anticipated world econo...

Financial Crisis 2008: Is the Story Going to Repeat?

The coming year has the potential for a combination of major risks to the global economy coming together to cause a financial crisis rivaling that of 2008-09. The mortgage bubble that burst in 2008 led to multiple failures of financial institutions, major downturns in global...

Two Fed Nominations Every Gold Investor Should Be Aware Of

The delicate balance of forces at the Fed has been disturbed. The doves grew stronger recently, and with new governors coming, their strength may increase even further. Will gold warm up to them? Goldbug in the Fed? Trump wants to nominate a goldbug to the Federal Res...

Central Banks Fire Bazooka at Coronavirus. Will Gold Rally?

The new coronavirus has already infected the global economy. The global lockdown means that recession is inevitable. The central banks all over the world have stepped in, including the Fed, cutting interest rates and pumping liquidity into the system. We invite you thus ...

Fed Says No Hikes In 2020. What About Gold?

The Fed kept the interest rates unchanged in December. The statement was rather hawkish, while the dot-plot rather dovish. What does such a mix imply for the yellow metal? Fed Keeps Interest Rates Unchanged Yesterday, the FOMC published the monetary policy statement ...

Fed Slashes Rates to Zero and Introduces QE in Response to COVID-19. Will Gold Rally Now?

On Sunday, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and restarted quantitative easing to stimulate economy hit by the pandemic of COVID-19. That’s already its second move prior to this Wednesday’s FOMC. What does it imply for gold? It&CloseCurl...

Quantifornication round 4 on its way

Californication is a brilliant 1999 song by the Red Hot Chili Peppers. Many of the lyrics reference the often insane, unrealistic, impossible dream images Hollywood sells to the world. Quantifornication is the term I coined for what the Federal Reserve is selling to the wo...

PART II - Fed Too Late To Prevent A Housing Market Crash?

In Part I of this research, we highlighted the Case-Shiller index of home affordability and how it relates to the US real estate market and consumer economic activity going forward. We warned that once consumers start to shift away from an optimistic view of the economy, t...
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