RE: RE: c4063sv : visit to the plant (the analyst, whose target is still much closer to the real stock price development than anybody else's)
That is the point of view of a short making the extremely risky bet that Jon Hykawy is right and avery other analyst is wrong. You must admit that for someone who doesn't have the preconceived idea that Jon Hykawy is the possessor of truth and every other analyst is dumb, your bet is quite irrational. That person would estimate that you have a 10% probability of a 65% gain and a 90% probability of a 230% loss. So mathematically, your expected return is a 200% loss!!
Was he not invited? If so, why?
Would you invite a broken clock at a speech about the notion of time?
This had been a huge opportunity for ORT to prove him wrong.
There is a huge opportunity all the time, except twice a day: a broken clock can't be proven wrong.