Join today and have your say! It’s FREE!

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Please Try Again
{{ error }}
By providing my email, I consent to receiving investment related electronic messages from Stockhouse.

or

Sign In

Please Try Again
{{ error }}
Password Hint : {{passwordHint}}
Forgot Password?

or

Please Try Again {{ error }}

Send my password

SUCCESS
An email was sent with password retrieval instructions. Please go to the link in the email message to retrieve your password.

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Quote  |  Bullboard  |  News  |  Opinion  |  Profile  |  Peers  |  Filings  |  Financials  |  Options  |  Price History  |  Ratios  |  Ownership  |  Insiders  |  Valuation

Geologix Explorations Inc GIXEF



GREY:GIXEF - Post by User

Comment by badswedeon Apr 14, 2016 8:45am
209 Views
Post# 24765467

RE:RE:RE:RE:Actually GIX has more than tripled from its low@1.5 cent EOM

RE:RE:RE:RE:Actually GIX has more than tripled from its low@1.5 cent EOMOk Eeyore, thanks for your input. 

I for one think I´ll have more trust in credible analysts like ADORA who did the following a year back. The number today speaks even more in GIX favour;

"Here’s a more in depth analysis of Torex Gold and Geologix Explorations mine Tepal. Both are located near each other in Mexico so they are good objects to compare. This comparison shows Tepals ‘hidden’ value not yet reflected in the market cap. Here’s the key data for both companies:

Torex Gold:

Location: Mexico
Resources: 11,2 moz gold eq
Capex: $725 m
Production capacity: 358 koz/year
Full production: 2017
LOM: 10,5 years
IRR: 23.7% after tax at $1500/oz gold
NPV:  $1039 m after tax at $1500/oz gold 5% discount rate
Payback: 3,7 years
Cash cost: $504/oz net of by products
Start of production: Q3 2015
Market cap: $943 m
Market cap per oz: $84,2

Geologix Explorations

Location: Mexico
Resources: 4,5 moz au eq (1,8 moz gold, 809 Mlbs copper)
Capex: $354 m
Production capacity: 116,000 oz au (243,000 with copper & silver)
Start of production: 2018
LOM: 11,5 r
IRR: 34% after tax at $1518/oz gold & $3,71/lb copper
NPV: $568 m after tax at $1518/oz 5% discount rate
Payback: 2,9 years
Cash cost: $191 net of copper after tax all-in sustaining
Market cap: $8,5 m
Market cap per eq oz: $2

Torex mine is larger than Tepal with a NPV over $1 billion (at $1500/oz gold), Tepals NPV is $568 m, this and the fact that Torex is financed to production is the main difference between them. But this does not explain the extreme difference in market caps, currently Geologix market cap is only 0,9% of Torex market cap.

Depending on how Geologix solves the financing its potential varies. The more dilution the less upside remains. The ability to do non-dilutive financing is good because of management, among them are three Silver Wheaton guys, Eduardo Luna, Randy Smallwood and George Brack. These guys have done very large financings before and they have the contacts and credibility that is needed to attract capital. Still several years into this bear market management have managed to keep the company going without any significant dilution.

In the best case scenario Geologix manages to take Tepal into production 2018 with low dilution, if they manage to do that the market cap should be able to reach same levels as Torex has in relation to its NPV. That would give Geologix a market cap of about $550 million, to reach that the stock must go up 6,400%. If you are positive on the gold price that number should be even higher.


<< Previous
Bullboard Posts
Next >>