Post by
Nawaralsaadi on Jul 02, 2013 3:05pm
Strong Oil Prices / Weak $CDN
We currently have a very unique situation for Canadian oil producers; oil prices are moving sharply higher along with a shrinking US/Canadian oil differential, meanwhile the Canadian dollar is weakening. This is a very profitable trend for Canadian producers and is highly unusual as historically strong oil prices have correlated with strong Canadian dollar, this unique dynamic will reflect very favourably on the cash flow of the Canadian based O&G companies. According to a CIBC June 16th report (prior to the last few days ramp up in oil pricing), Longview total payout ratio has dipped to 90% and D/CF has dipped to 1.6.
Longview is yet more undervalued today, than when I first wrote about the company on June 6th. The stock is an extreme buy at current levels; I expect a move to the $7-$8 range by Q4 (regardless of the Advantage review which could act as a supplementary catalyst).
Regards,
Nawar
Comment by
Canoutchie on Jul 02, 2013 7:48pm
Well someone must agree with you as there was some pretty strong volume today, at least compared to the average volume. I've got a half position here, just waiting to see which side of $5 this stock will move. It'd be nice to see some confirmation of today's price movement. Cheers.