Post by
undervalue on May 03, 2022 4:16pm
Cap rates Q1 CBRE
The industrial investment market started 2022 at the same rabid pace set over the last two years. The asset class has continued to see elevated investment demand due to ever strengthening property fundamentals and favourable sectoral tailwinds. This has resulted in record low cap rates in virtually all markets across Canada. Despite compressed cap rates, bids for assets that reach the market have remained exceptionally aggressive and many investors are expanding their focus to consider opportunities in secondary and tertiary geographies. —The national average cap rate figures for Class A and Class B industrial properties ended Q1 2022 at 4.3% and 5.1%, respectively, compressing by 8 bps and 13 bps in the second quarter. It has now been six quarters since there has been any upward movement in either of these figures. —Each of Calgary, Winnipeg, London-Windsor, Quebec City, and Halifax reported downward movements in industrial yields in Q1 2022.
—The threat of rapidly rising interest rates and their ability to derail a 12-year real estate bull run is top of mind for all investors. The fear that rate hikes may negatively impact values, however, has not stopped voracious investor demand for real estate in Vancouver. Cap rates are holding across all sectors at this time. —Fundamentals remain strong as low vacancy rates, strong absorption, and continued demand for office, industrial, and multifamily space continues to support belief in value appreciation. —While there is little doubt that rising interest rates will eventually impact valuations, the significant backlog of capital currently earmarked for real estate will buoy demand through the balance of the year
Vancouver Cap Rates Industrial A3.25%-4.00%tu B3.50%-4.00%
Madison Cap rates Industrial 4.05% Retail/highway-commercial 4.42% Office 4.15%
The Madison NAV calculations remain very conservative. Ignored in the numbers is the redevelopment potential of the portfolio.