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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Argonaut Gold Inc T.AR

Alternate Symbol(s):  T.AR.DB.U | ARNGF

Argonaut Gold Inc. is a gold producer with a portfolio of operations in North America. The Company’s operating mines include Florida Canyon, Magino, La Colorada and San Agustin. The Florida Canyon Gold Mine area is situated in northwestern Nevada within the Basin and Range physiographic province. The Magino mine property is a past producing underground gold mine located 40 kilometers (km... see more

TSX:AR - Post Discussion

Argonaut Gold Inc > Statement of Personal Nature
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Post by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 12, 2024 2:09pm

Statement of Personal Nature

he stock price is nearing historic lows and it appears that the current sentiment, reflects the tendencies of the community that tends to buy at high prices and sell at low ones. I don’t mean to offend, but it seems that a small group of investors are facing this reality. Consequently, they voice their speculations on these forums, shaping a narrative that justifies their poor decision. It’s likely that they’re trying to turn their failures into a form of successes. For instance, if someone bought at the peak price around $4, they’ve probably realized by now that it wasn’t a wise move. So, they resort to criticizing the company online, for which they’re now left holding the bag, as a way to cope with their situation. This action gives the decision-maker a sense of false success, as the market continues to decline. 
 
Having said that, I’m simply a young adult from Winnipeg, with expertise in computer science and experience in building gold mines. Some of you might know me more personally, as we’ve had discussions outside of these forums. My situation is quite straightforward. I’m wagering on the market price of Argonaut Gold surpassing its fair value. Regardless of whether the news release in March triggers a push towards fair value, I’ve always understood that a high stock price is contingent on positive cash flow, something the company may not see until the 2nd half of 2024. I’m here for the same reason you are, nothing more. I primarily post my analyses to receive constructive criticism to help me grow as an investor, as I’ve encountered many intelligent individuals on these forums who have shared invaluable information.
 
Lastly, I strongly believe that sentiment significantly impacts stock prices. I’ll emphasize this again, disseminating fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) about the stock you’re invested in can potentially lead to a decline in its price, which isn’t advantageous for you.
Comment by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 12, 2024 2:32pm
I began buying shares in August 2022 when the market price was above 50 cents. I continued purchasing as the price fell to 35 cents and held on even when it dropped further to 32 cents. As many are aware, I sold my position in 2023 and bought back in. My average price is around 40 cents, and I’m repeating my 2022 strategy of buying at these levels.   After the market turnaround in 2022 ...more  
Comment by Sclarda2 on Feb 26, 2024 11:12pm
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 26, 2024 11:56pm
Your calculations might need some adjustments, lmao. The stock will go back up soon enough—I’ve got time to wait.
Comment by Sclarda2 on Feb 12, 2024 2:50pm
You talk a good game but then your last paragraph reveals the truth. You seem to actually believe that messages on these boards is what drives a stocks shareprice. In the short term it may make a few sell or buy but with a company like AR with a billion shares out that will not make a huge differance. You seem to have a need to endlessly argue with bashers and refute there claims. Why is that ...more  
Comment by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 12, 2024 3:07pm
Indeed, sentiment can significantly influence stock prices. This is often seen in the case of startups or exploratory companies where the potential for future earnings drives investor sentiment and, consequently, the stock price.   I have a significant investment in the company, which is why I frequently discuss it. I believe that’s reasonable. Regarding the personal criticism, you were ...more  
Comment by Sclarda2 on Feb 13, 2024 12:43am
Where in my post did i state that i am doubting my investment in AR?   I am bullish as are many but it does not mean that we have a 100% guarantee with this or any other stock. There have been many times that i have been bullish on a stock and should have listened to the so called bashers who ended up being quite right. Its always good to hear different points of view as sometimes they ...more  
Comment by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 13, 2024 8:08am
Firstly, it’s intriguing that you’ve chosen to confront a user on this forum who shares bullish analysis about the company you’re invested in and hope will prosper. You’ve criticized me on multiple occasions, which is puzzling since we’re on the same side. You seem to have a compulsion to constantly dispute my analysis. In recent weeks, I’ve posted nothing that could be construed as bearish, so ...more  
Comment by Sclarda2 on Feb 13, 2024 4:16pm
For someone who trys to portray being so confident in this stock you sure seem to get upset and emotional very easily. People who are condident usually are a lot calmer than you.  Actually i am not on your side or anyones side.  There are no sides only different opinions which you  try to put a stop to if they dont agree with yours as of course you are always right. Funny how you ...more  
Comment by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 13, 2024 4:55pm
Another emotional post that isn’t about the company, but rather about me. I view myself as calm and collected, thank you very much. I’m not sure why you’re speculating about me. It seems like you’re fixated on me. How many posts have you made on this forum that directly concern me? Why do you insist on attributing statements to me that I didn’t make? Who do you think you are, Ms. Massive Ego ...more  
Comment by psych01 on Feb 13, 2024 5:27pm
Argo--I think you're looking for dopamine more than you're looking for rational debate; we've all met people who thrive on action--you like to mix it up, it jumps off the page.  My advice, continue the good informational posts and don't be so defensive.  We wish you luck on AR.  IMO
Comment by okgonow on Feb 13, 2024 5:37pm
Lets keep it real in here what i have seen is that Argo posting relevant info backed by facts ie; NR by the company and official numbers pulled from the resource estimates etc.l and then gives reasonable reaserched opinion based on the black and white OFFICIAL facts as we know them at this point in time. others on the other hand make statements based on feelings and non-verifable information or ...more  
Comment by psych01 on Feb 13, 2024 5:44pm
Acknowledged the informational posts--you saw that, and you also read Argo's defensive tirade(s).  I'm trying to help him calm down, doing my part.  IMO
Comment by okgonow on Feb 13, 2024 5:47pm
the other thing to mention is that the people that seem the most aggravated by Argos post are the ones that do not own a single share of AR stock. because if you did you would feel alot better about owning them as Argo has shown the company is way undervalued at this point. and eventhough there are external forces keeping the SP down as in eg: the FED and BoC not lowering of interest rates at ...more  
Comment by Sclarda2 on Feb 13, 2024 10:34pm
                                                                                                                  & ...more  
Comment by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 14, 2024 12:38am
It seems that my posts have upset you, judging by the apparent hostility. However, you’ve admitted in the past to being overly positive about a stock, only to later wish you had listened to the skeptics who were ultimately proven right. You’ve also admitted to making several mistakes in your previous investments and expressed regret for not heeding the advice of strangers. These are quite a few ...more  
Comment by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 13, 2024 6:17pm
I’m excited to hear about the upcoming announcements related to the mill optimization at Magino. I believe this statement from the company’s Q2’23 presentation is relevant to the optimization plans for the plant. The infill drill results so far indicate an increase in tonnage and grade, which could increase the average grade processed during the first five years of operations from 1.3 grams per ...more  
Comment by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 13, 2024 6:22pm
The company previously mentioned that in November, Argonaut carried out a test of Orica’s OrePro3D software. They set up a test block that incorporated the grade and tonnage. The material extracted from this block underwent processing in the plant. The expected grade of the block was 1.53 g/t gold, taking into account dilution. However, the actual grade at the mill turned out to be 1.50 g/t.
Comment by frances1 on Feb 14, 2024 7:54am
Hey Argonautgold  If the plant is producing 30% more and the grade is higher, how would that affect the AISC..has to go down a little ? I think the 148k forecast production had costs of $868...not sure what the AISC would be but be nice to know if things fall into line as your calculations suggest how that would help the cost profile to produce the gold
Comment by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 14, 2024 8:48am
That’s an insightful question. The company has indicated that a plant expansion to 20,000 tpd could potentially decrease process plus G&A unit costs by 25 to 30%. Based on this, one could infer that a 30% expansion to 13,000 tpd might reduce these costs by approximately 6.25 to 9%.   Regarding the increase in head grade, let’s consider two scenarios using the company’s cost per tonne ...more  
Comment by okgonow on Feb 14, 2024 9:02am
thats why proper mine plans are so very important its not just about TPD its the type of material brought to the plant (possibility of mix of material being processed to achieve consistent Oz per ton throughput, optimization of recovery rates and probably a few other things and thats just at the mill. then there are all kinds of other things a miner can do in tearms of just general operation of ...more  
Comment by Sclarda2 on Apr 08, 2024 3:26pm
Seems like only weeks ago are little pants pea er was a lot more optimistic about Maginos future. How does anyone that flips totally their position on a company in one day.
Comment by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 14, 2024 9:32am
It would indeed be intriguing if the results of the company’s drilling programs reveal a high-grade deposit that is comparable to the Island Gold property located just across the street from us. As I’ve mentioned before, a significant portion of Island Gold’s proven and probable reserves are situated in the Elbow Central zone. Alamos Gold also boasts 892,000 tonnes at 15.83 g/t, amounting to 454K ...more  
Comment by frances1 on Feb 14, 2024 9:55am
Thanks for all that information...very helpful. 
Comment by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 14, 2024 1:52pm
Moreover, a portion of the Magino Gold and Island Gold deposits are interconnected. I have shared an image illustrating this before. The Elbow Central zone spans from Island Gold West, crossing the claim boundaries, and reaches into Magino Gold. I have visited the site numerous times. The two mines are situated directly opposite each other on the same street. When you stand at the edge of the ...more  
Comment by okgonow on Feb 14, 2024 8:10am
as i see it that would be a plesant surprise  ( i have no issues with the math )  but in my experience as this is a brand new plant and operation,  just getting it to consistently produce at name plate production with optimization of recovery rates would be a real win in my book. i like the positivity but again with everything beeing new  name plate would be a massive win.  ...more  
Comment by Sclarda2 on Feb 27, 2024 8:25am
"You appear to lack knowledge about the stock market."         I guess i am not the only one hey Mr. Bufett.  ha ha ha ha.
Comment by Sclarda2 on Feb 26, 2024 10:32pm
"Secondly you admitted that you have been mistaken many times before and that the detractors you have heeded in the past have been right." Looks like they were right again hey Dilweed?   Yep you sure showed them ha ha ha "Ive been actively monitoring this stock on daily basis for over two years and my returns have been substantial."   Wasnt your average ...more  
Comment by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 26, 2024 10:53pm
I failed to catch the bottom two years ago in 2022 as well. However, my returns in 2023 were over 70%. We can’t complain about that, can we? That’s how it goes; nothing in life is perfect, but I suppose you could say that I have ‘diamond hands’. Nonetheless, nothing has changed for me. As for the name-calling, it’s quite pathetic. 
Comment by Sclarda2 on Feb 29, 2024 12:05am
"I understand why you might think its a good idea to walk away from this stock, but i disagree." I wish i would have listened to the Sheep  Bahhh  Hes a lot better at analyzing stocks than you. 
Comment by Sclarda2 on Feb 29, 2024 12:07am
"I have a significant investment in this company,"  Not that   "Significant" anymore ha ha ha
Comment by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 29, 2024 12:27am
Quit making assumptions on a public forum about my returns from trading AR. Your experience of incurring losses from trading miners doesn’t necessarily reflect the general trend. I’m confident that many investors, like myself, profited from trading AR in 2023. Here are the returns I made from trading AR on the TSX throughout 2023. Based on my track record of the last six trades, I can assure you ...more  
Comment by Sclarda2 on Feb 29, 2024 1:00am
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by Sclarda2 on Mar 09, 2024 10:39pm
  "This will be my final response to you."                          ha ha ha
Comment by ARGONAUTGOLD on Feb 12, 2024 3:32pm
Moreover, the total number of users who read the posts is between 50 to 100 per post. Assuming that these 50 to 100 individuals all purchase stock on the same day at a rate similar to mine. This leads to a collective purchase of between 12,500,000 and 25,000,000 shares in one day. If there's a surge of 25,000,000 shares in one day, this would indeed exceed the 30-day average volume by a ...more  
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