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Athabasca Oil Corp T.ATH

Alternate Symbol(s):  ATHOF

Athabasca Oil Corporation (AOC) is a Canadian energy company with a focused strategy on the development of thermal and light oil assets. AOC’s segments include Light Oil and Thermal Oil. The Thermal Oil segment includes the Company’s assets, liabilities and operating results for the exploration, development and production of bitumen from sand and carbonate rock formations located in the Athabasca region of Northern Alberta. It also consists of two operating oil sands steam assisted gravity drainage projects and a resource base of exploration areas in the Athabasca region of northeastern Alberta. The Light Oil segment includes its assets, liabilities and operating results for the exploration, development and production of light crude oil and medium crude oil, tight oil and conventional natural gas. Its Light Oil segment consists exclusively of the Duvernay in the Greater Kaybob area with about 155,000 gross acres across Kaybob West, Kaybob North, Kaybob East and Two Creeks.


TSX:ATH - Post by User

Comment by Maxmoeon May 04, 2021 9:00pm
191 Views
Post# 33129565

RE:Funds flow 4 cents per share

RE:Funds flow 4 cents per share

You focus on Q1 history if you want. I'll focus on the guidance for 2021, which "says it all" better. adjusted funds flow of 155 million vs your focus on $19 million. $155 million PLUS $70 million for every $5 increase in wti, but let's round down and call it $190 million. That's 10x the Q1 number you want to focus on. That's 40 cents per share. At just 4x AFF, the stock should be $1.60. In a strong oil environment good luck finding anything better than the cash flow BEAST.  Just sayin.  

  • Cash Flow: Forecasted Adjusted EBITDA of >$210 million (~$155 million of Adjusted Funds Flow); unhedged annual EBITDA sensitivity of ~$70 million for every US$5/bbl move in oil prices.


Hendrick3 wrote: I think that says it all. They are still a weak company. They will be fine at these oil prices but the market cap is at almost $400 million for a negative free cash flow company. There are better investments. 

 

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