TSX:BPF.UN - Post by User
Comment by
TheeRookon Mar 19, 2020 5:46am
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Post# 30825062
RE:NCIB and Est. SP
RE:NCIB and Est. SPGoing lower. Cancel Dividends until CV is over.,.
Boston Pizza Royalties Income Fund has pro-actively closed all of its dining rooms and sports bars across Canada
Tony101 wrote:
Let's try to do another round of analysis: what range do you think SP can settle during this round of NCIB?
2018 NCIB it bought 98,300 units at avg. $15.86/sh during that mini-crash. I think SP around that time of announcement was ~$15 with div at around 9.25% (comparing to ~8.4% now), so BP was somewhat willing to pay 5-6% premium on the shares, but their financial position was better in 2018 than in 2019. After Q4, BP announced its facility B got extended by $6.7m. If we factored in the cancellation's savings of $539k and some regular debt repayment, it might have $8-8.5m for buyback.
Given these considerations, I think BP's buyback range maybe between $14.55 and $15.25/15.45.
What do you think?