RE:Woke, I agree historically...butGreat commentary on oil markets, gentlemen.
As for calling a recession, my understanding is two consecutive quarters of contraction is just a rule of thumb. I think the US gov aceepts these guys as the official arbiters, and they can take years to make their call.
https://www.nber.org/research/business-cycle-dating
My own assumption is we're already in both kinds of recession. My favorite indicator is they start when most economists start predicting one :-)