TSX:CVE - Post Discussion
Post by
retiredcf on Jul 27, 2023 11:58am
RBC Report
July 27, 2023
Cenovus Energy Inc.
2Q First Glance— In-Line Quarter
TSX: CVE | CAD 23.81 | Outperform | Price Target CAD 27.00
Sentiment: Neutral
From where we sit, Cenovus Energy’s largely in-line second-quarter results are not indicative of the company’s execution capability —which we believe should surface in the second-half of this year. The company reported broadly in-line AFFO/share, capital spending and upstream production vs. Street consensus. Cenovus’ net debt (company definition) stood at $6.4 billion as of June 30. The company also provided updated guidance and announced several organizational changes to its executive team.
Conference Call
• Time: 11:00 am ET on Thursday, July 27 • Dial-In: (888) 664-6383
Key Points
• Cenovus generated $897 million of free funds flow (before dividends) in the quarter with its net debt down around $265 million to $6.4 billion (vs. RBC at $6.5 billion) as of June 30.
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Christina Lake production came in at 234,900 bbl/d (vs. RBC at 235,150 bbl/d), while Foster Creek production came in at 167,000 bbl/d (vs. RBC at 163,500 bbl/d), reflecting a planned three-week turnaround completed in the quarter.
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Canada gas volumes were 504.3 mmcf/d in the quarter (vs. RBC at 467.5 mmcf/d), reflective of shut-ins due to Alberta wildfires.
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The company drew 4,000 boe/d of upstream inventories in the second-quarter.
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Refining margin (US + Canadian manufacturing) of $143 million (including a $170 million expense related to processing crude
purchased in prior periods at higher prices and inventory adjustments vs. RBC at $150 million) came in below our $265 million estimate. This included Canadian manufacturing margins of $116 million in the second-quarter and $27 million in the US Manufacturing segment, reflective of the impact of lower sales volumes than production volumes due to inventory build-up at the Lima refinery and a normal lag time expected on sales with the ramp-up of the Toledo and Superior refineries.
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Cenovus reported a cash tax expense of $226 million in the second quarter, slightly below the $288 million factored into our estimate ($0.03 per share impact).
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The company announced that it has completed the concrete pour at West White Rose on the offshore platform’s conical slip.
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