TSXV:CVI.P - Post by User
Comment by
turks1on Jan 11, 2011 10:32pm
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Post# 17957511
RE: Target price $7
RE: Target price $7I pasted some of the report & here is the link.https://www.jenningscapital.com/reports/CVI20111110RaisingTarget.pdf
HAPPY NEW YEAR, NEW TRUCKING
FACILITIES, NEW DISCOVERY(S), NEW
PRICE FORECASTS,…
?? Trucking facilities at Block 51 should becompleted by month end. Once commissioned, weanticipate that gross production will rise to
~10,000 Bbl/d over the ensuing several weeks as the
Company brings on the new wells. (page 2)
?? Qarn Qaymah-3 basement well nearing TD – firstresults around month end. Drilling has resumedafter running an intermediate casing string. Absent
any drilling problems, the well should reach TD in
approximately two weeks. First results should be
available around month end, although the full testing
program will likely continue well into February. The
basement has potential for up to 300 MMBbl of
recoverable oil. (page 2)
?? Ras Nowmah-3 appraisal well underway. This is afollow-up to the RN-2 discovery well drilled in 2010,
which tested at rates over 3,000 Bbl/d. Preliminary
estimates of 50 MMBbl OOIP could also be expanded
as the Company processes and interprets new seismic
recently shot over the discovery and offsetting
prospects. (page 2)
?? Looking for substantial reserve increase this year.
Between the Ras Nowmah discovery, improved
performance at Hiswah and potential reserves at Qarn
Qaymah, we believe that Calvalley’s 2P reserves
could increase by up to 30% vs. 2009. (page 4)
?? New price forecast and higher production ratesboost cash flow for 2011 and forward. We areestimating cash flow of $84 million (
.84/sh) in 2011,
up from $20 million in 2010. We anticipate a further
increase of $151 million ($1.52/sh) in 2012, as
development drilling continues and a sales pipeline
eventually replaces the trucking. (pages 3, 4)
We are maintaining our recommendation of
SPECULATIVE BUY and increasing our 12-month
target to $7.00.