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Concordia Healthcare Corp. T.CXR.R



TSX:CXR.R - Post by User

Comment by sunshine7on Apr 26, 2016 6:44pm
113 Views
Post# 24812721

RE:Please stop acting like frightened children

RE:Please stop acting like frightened childrenand who in your opinion is opposing the shorts at this time? Mighty strange that 2 days now this is ending exactly flat in the midst of a short attack.
taxman26 wrote: One week ago this stock was $10 cad lower, if you think there is no deal, sell it and count your blessings. If fact, short it because the price will fall, given that outcome.

However, if you believe the company to be in negotiations with another entity then one must accept that these parties are not wasting each others resources. If the bid was to be $45 cad I have to suspect the committee would not be meeting, as that is essentially what the stock was trading at upon initiation of the committee. So, one would conclude that any bid is higher than $45 cad.

What some of you have not comprehended  is that an entity, Blackstone, is dedicating time and valuable resources to present an offer and negotiate the purchase of this company. They would not waste the effort for certain rejection, it is counterproductive.

The price has to be in a range the company is amenable to for negotiations to initiate. Blackstone was not rebuffed upon approach to CXR otherwise the talks would not continue. Blackstone could just make an unsolicited bid at a lower price, to whatever result. 

So, we know the price is going to be to the committees acceptance because this is not a distressed sale, merely an opportune one. My guess is $82 cad. It could be higher if multiple buyers are involved. Think multiple house bidders, but I doubt that is going to happen. 

The current trading action tells me there is a deal done or close to done, and the daily stock movement is controlled to frustrate short sellers. Longs have seen been lower so are likely to continue to hold, especially if no more loss. Shorts are trying to double-down or initiate, the action looks to burn them, in my opinion.

So stop worrying worst case you got a respite from the drop.





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