Post by
Lumberfeverlong on Sep 07, 2016 8:34am
Short Squeeze Coming
Just like those are who bet against GBP are being squeezed so too will those holding a short position in CXR. Over 30% of CXR's float is currently short. The company is now trading below 1x2016 EBITDA. These valuation levels would suggest insolvency is right around the corner. Do your own research and you will also conclude that this is just completely impossible given company's balance sheet. With a deferral of half of the Cinven payment, the company will end the year with over $160M and still have a $200M undrawn revolver. Assuming no growth in 2017, hey should add more than $200M to that. After payment of the other half of the CInven payment, they should be left with approximately $250M excess cash at the end of 2017.
Worth underlining is the recent unexpected rise in the GBP which is now trading at 1.34 USD to GBP. Company's guidance assumed an exchange rate of 1.31. Economic data coming out of the UK recently suggests the British pound will continue its ascent. This bodes well for CXr as over 60% of its revenue derives from Amco now. The short and distort gang will say that they missed the boat on this because of their swap arrangement, but that arrangement only swapped debt from USD to GBP. Revenue is not hedged meaning as the GBP appreciates so too will USD denominated revenue.
Do do not sell your shares at these levels. Put in sell orders at $50 or above so the shorts can't use your shares for shorting. The squeeze is coming. Be patient. Look away!!!
Comment by
LaurenceDaPill on Sep 07, 2016 9:24am
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