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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum
Concordia Healthcare Corp.
T.CXR.R
Healthcare
Biotechnology
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TSX:CXR.R - Post Discussion
Concordia Healthcare Corp.
> Took time out to dissect the Presentation - CIBC is Wrong -
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•••
ryehigh2014
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Post by
ryehigh2014
on Oct 16, 2016 4:08pm
Took time out to dissect the Presentation - CIBC is Wrong -
Below I`ve pasted a Proforma I/S for Q3 - Q4 (i know its early). Most assumptions are relative to Revenue.
I factor in a 1.21 GBPUSD rate and a 1.10 GBPUSD for Q3 and Q4/2016 respectively. Furthermore project negative 10% of revenue growth for Q3/Q4. See below for I/S snapshot.
Income Statement
Historical
Units
QY03
QY06
QY09
QY12
TOTAL
Revenue
$ Thousands
$ 228,535
$ 231,712
$ 222,891
$ 214,478
$ 897,616
Concordia International
$ Thousands
$ 139,913
$ 151,477
$ 145,418
$ 139,601
$ 576,409
Concordia Orphan Drugs
$ Thousands
$ 2,674
$ 2,744
$ 2,744
$ 2,744
$ 10,906
Concordia North America
$ Thousands
$ 85,948
$ 77,491
$ 74,729
$ 72,133
$ 310,301
Concordia Legacy Drugs
$ Thousands
$ 29,197
$ 31,461
$ 31,461
$ 31,461
$ 123,581
Covis
$ Thousands
$ 56,751
$ 46,030
$ 43,268
$ 40,672
$ 186,720
EBITDA
$ 106,943
$ (441,212)
$ 112,438
$ 106,615
$ (115,216)
EBITDA + Impairment
$ 106,943
$ 125,864
$ 112,438
$ 106,615
$ 451,860
(0)
•••
ryehigh2014
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Comment by
ryehigh2014
on Oct 16, 2016 4:11pm
Cash Flow Statement Historical QY03 QY06 QY09 QY12 Total Cash flow from Operations Net Income (loss) from continuing Operations $
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ryehigh2014
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Comment by
ryehigh2014
on Oct 16, 2016 4:19pm
Apologize. I dont think anyone can see the post properly. Anywasy to summarize. Cash on hand expected after Q4 - 203MM. I expect 2 NI losses going forward. NOL tax carry forwards will be HUGE (and beneficial). I expect acquisitions to the tune of ~30MM a year. I also expect EXTREMELY negative growth rates of -10% a quarter to start (which is very unlikely) (-6% for North American Business
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•••
Marky1
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Comment by
Marky1
on Oct 16, 2016 4:51pm
Thank you for all the work that you've done for all of us rye high !! Appreciate it...
Thank You
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