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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Enbridge Inc T.ENB

Alternate Symbol(s):  T.ENB.PR.A | EBBNF | T.ENB.PR.V | ENBRF | T.ENB.PR.B | T.ENB.PR.Y | ENB | T.ENB.PR.D | T.ENB.PR.Z | T.ENB.PR.F | ENBFF | T.ENB.PF.A | T.ENB.PR.G | ENBGF | T.ENB.PF.C | T.ENB.PR.H | ENBHF | EBRGF | ENNPF | T.ENB.PF.E | T.ENB.PR.I | T.ENB.PF.G | T.ENB.PR.J | ENBMF | EBRZF | T.ENB.PF.K | T.ENB.PR.N | ENBNF | T.ENB.PF.U | T.ENB.PR.P | ENBOF | T.ENB.PF.V | EBBGF | T.ENB.PR.T | EBGEF

Enbridge Inc. is an energy transportation and distribution company. The Company operates through five business segments: Liquids Pipelines, Gas Transmission and Midstream, Gas Distribution and Storage, Renewable Power Generation, and Energy Services. Liquids Pipelines consists of pipelines and terminals in Canada and the United States that transport and export various grades of crude oil and... see more

TSX:ENB - Post Discussion

Enbridge Inc > Help for Fiddy
View:
Post by Marner16 on Nov 03, 2020 6:39pm

Help for Fiddy

If you are not just "taking a p*ss" as the Brits call it, this may help.

Think of ENB as a taxi company who has a contract to drive home all the employees of a company each day.  The contract pays a set fee plus the cost to cover the mileage for each pick up.  When an employee doesn't require a ride home, the taxi company gets the set fee. 

When Covid hit, 40%  of their employees under the contract began to work at home.  As such, the taxi company didn't get to report 40% of the normal mileage as revenue, but they also didn't incur the cost of the mileage.  The taxi company still kept the set fee so their earnings were unaffected

I copied the following graphic from the "Why Invest" icon of the Enbridge website:

Low Risk Business Model Built for Resiliency
As you can see in the top left corner, ENB has 98% Cost of Service Contracts (commonly known as Take or Pay).  That means ENB gets paid whether they transport the oil (or pick up the pasenger in my example). 

The fear for investors is that ENB's customers might not be able to pay.   However, 95% of ENB's customers are Investment grade which basically means they can afford to write the cheque. 

Sounds too good to be true.  Right?

Wrong!  It is true.  If a E&P company wants ENB to carry it's oil to market, they have to have an Investment grade credit rating, and they have to sign long term Take or Pay contracts.

Soooooooooooooooooooooo....when ENB says they are going to deliver, they deliver.  Last December 12th, ENB offered guidance for 2020:

1) They said they would increase their dividend to $0.81 per quarter for the year and they have and will continue to deliver for Q3 and Q4. 

2) They also provided EBITDA for 2020 within a range of $4.50 to $4.80 for 2020, which they reconfirmed during their Q2 mgmt discussion despite the horrendous conditions experienced in Q2.   this year, they will deliver.  ENB confirmed the numbers during their mgmt discussions to accompany the Q2 report. 

3) They provided guidance that their FFO would increase by 5% to 7% for 2021 to 2023.  That means that shareholders can be confident that dividends will increase by at least 5% to 7% over the 3 years.  If there is a catastrophic change (something far greater than the covid disaster in Q2 that didn't alter the company's FFO guidance for 2020), the company will tell us because that is what they do. 

Fiddy, if you were just playing with the board, I just wasted a few minutes but perhaps the explanation might help someone else.  If you were serious and don't understand what I have written, then I can't help ya mate!
Comment by FreeAtFiddy on Nov 03, 2020 7:34pm
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by KLockett on Nov 03, 2020 8:02pm
Wow great job explaining!!!
Comment by masfortuna on Nov 04, 2020 7:47am
You are good man Marner.  I just told him to check the Q lol! Don't forget the potential of Keystone getting cancelled.  And Buffet buying pipelines is never a bad sign. Mas
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