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Entree Resources Ltd T.ETG

Alternate Symbol(s):  ERLFF

Entree Resources Ltd. is a Canadian mining company. The Company is focused on the development and exploration of mineral property interests. The Company is principally focused on its Entree/Oyu Tolgoi JV Property in Mongolia. The Entree/Oyu Tolgoi joint venture property includes Lift 1 and Lift 2 of the Hugo North Extension copper-gold deposit, the Heruga copper-gold-molybdenum deposit, and a large underexplored, highly prospective land package. The Oyu Tolgoi project comprises two separate land holdings: the Entree/Oyu Tolgoi JV Property, which is a partnership between Entree and OTLLC, and the Oyu Tolgoi mining license, which is held by OTLLC. The Entree/Oyu Tolgoi JV Property comprises the eastern portion of the Shivee Tolgoi mining license and all the Javhlant mining license. The Company has a 56.53% interest in the Blue Rose Joint Venture. The Company has an interest in acquiring a 0.5% net smelter return royalty on the Canariaco copper project in Northern Peru.


TSX:ETG - Post by User

Comment by Countrygenton Jan 06, 2023 11:22am
235 Views
Post# 35206933

RE:RE:Looking Good

RE:RE:Looking GoodCharni - thanks.

Yes, on value, ETG is pretty unique in having a piece of a fully-developed mine where production income is coming soon, there are multiple phases that will produce income for decades so incredible leverage to copper/gold if you like the metals as an asset class, and this throw-in of potentially huge exploration upside on a camp play land package because they have halted any real exploration of the massive land package for over a decade due to political considerations.

And then just compare ETG by market cap to the TRQ implied market cap (which I think was greatly undervalued in the recent buy-out), an implied $8.6 billion CDN.  As I have said before, if ETG was worth just 5% as much as TRQ that's $2 CDN/share.  A fairer valuation is likely around 12% or so .. $4.91 ... absent any further upgrade in resources or monetization of OT by concurrent development of Heruga.  The upside for Rio Tinto to come in and pay out ETG at $5 or so if Horizon and managemnet were capable of negotiating that as a reasonable price is they could turn around, bring in another major miner as a partner, and get cracking on Heruga and a doubling of the mill capacity, which would completely change the Heruga valuation to the upside.  Especially if Lift 2, as I am convinced, has a much bigger reserves footprint.  And if they have a true additional discover, especially shallow, on the JV capable of concurrent development as another open pit ... hello big upside for ETG.

I know, a lot of IF's ... but this play has a distinction of having been undersold on purpose by the two most interested buyers and controlling parties, Rio and Mongolia, who played a game of their own fighting over ownership and cash entitlements from production scaring away investors, when they really are either the only potential buyers, or the absolute controllling party in deciding if any other major miner will be allowed to join in as an investor.  And they totally control expansion and monetization of the existing and future deposits in the OT camp.

My thesis ... the longer and harder the fight to get the biggest slice of ownership by the parties best placed to recognize the true value, the more valuable the asset.  What do you figure the better part of twenty years of negotiations and infighting suggests regarding the perceived value of all of OT as an asset?  Answer - it is literally a gold mine, with free copper in the billions of pounds, or a copper mine with almost zero production costs because it has so much gold.

Ya just gotta luv it!

cg
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