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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum BETAPRO SP500 VIX ST FTRS 2X DLY BULL T.HVU

TSX:HVU - Post Discussion

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Post by manxcan on Apr 22, 2016 9:56am

May June

Looks like time we get the swing on DUST to upside. I am holding 20% once I buy either HVU UVXY combo. backed out with upside in hand. I noted Apple earnings come out Friday after the close. Others MSFT, XOM, Baba up slightly on earnings.

See this as better to trade next Monday late day through to Wednesday.

Enjoy weekend, Cheers Manxcan
Comment by boss_waz on Apr 22, 2016 10:27am
DUST looks compelling...even with the reverse split scheduled... However, for the minors to drop, then Gold must drop...and the US dollar needs to rise... Are you suggesting or predicting an interest rate hike iin the US to fuel this engine? What about the mega stoack market crash that is being touted to occur in 2016 (actually the entire economy)...how will that effect GOLD and subequently the ...more  
Comment by TheCapitalistBear on Apr 22, 2016 12:27pm
Boss, it would seem like this gold scenario could only be driven by a rate hike. But also, it could be driven by the "potential for a future rate hike", as the market is on pins and needles to Janet. Or, it could be from a lack of further Fed talk of easing and patience. Deflation can and will also form on its own without Janet's help as credit is tapped. There's many ways it ...more  
Comment by boss_waz on Apr 22, 2016 1:25pm
Great info...thanks for that...but its beyond my understanding. Commercial shorts being high...doesent that mean more risk protection against falling prices? Does that imply falling prices because of falling dollar...or how does that translate into rising dollar (and falling gold...and rising DUST)?
Comment by boss_waz on Apr 22, 2016 1:28pm
Oh and also, would that not lead to higher Volatility...ie VIX? Or better yet...the Vix futures are shouting less volatility...yet commercials are shorting more in anticipation of falling proces...or hence higher volatility...wtf?
Comment by boss_waz on Apr 22, 2016 1:36pm
And finally...if I havent driven you nuts yet...techniclly DUST has been dragging the bottom for weeks now...and its likely due for a significant bounce...do you see this ending anywhere near $10-15 100/200 dma...(pre-split)...or better yet...where is your exit?
Comment by TheCapitalistBear on Apr 22, 2016 1:37pm
Good macro "puzzle fitting" discussion. Let me preface that I certainly don't know the future as proven by a near 50% loss the past 2 months on HVU here. Took a real spanking. However, I do see a macro deflationary event taking place where clueless investors flock to USD as their safe haven, instead of the real safe haven: gold. For this reason I see Gold taking part in the ...more  
Comment by TheCapitalistBear on Apr 22, 2016 1:37pm
Good macro "puzzle fitting" discussion. Let me preface that I certainly don't know the future as proven by a near 50% loss the past 2 months on HVU here. Took a real spanking. However, I do see a macro deflationary event taking place where clueless investors flock to USD as their safe haven, instead of the real safe haven: gold. For this reason I see Gold taking part in the ...more  
Comment by TheCapitalistBear on Apr 22, 2016 1:40pm
Link to the main Committment Of Traders window on BarChart here, if people don't have it/use it. To run other major markets and see what the big guys are doing.   https://www.barchart.com/futures/cot.php
Comment by boss_waz on Apr 22, 2016 2:06pm
Thanks again.... Maybe we keep it simple...markets generally go up in an election year...and leave it at that...lol
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