Incitec Pivot Ltd T.IPL

RE:revisions of predictions

[fishtail]

Just to be clear, since some are spreading misinformation about some of the modeling and projections out there (not necessarily your post)<br /> <br /> points to take in<br /> <ul> <li> This has been incredibly fast changing environment/ situation</li> <li> many initial projections included scenarios that reflected status quo scenarios, given some of the early dismissive talk from *some* officials, governments and business leaders that this is nothing to worry about&nbsp;</li> <li> So when you see press and commentary out with revised projections, keep in mind that most of the models initially included a if we DO NOTHING projections, and now that we&#39;re doing something, the data gets revised</li> <li> Case example -- see these charts here. &nbsp;<a href="https://covidactnow.org/">https://covidactnow.org/</a></li> </ul> <br />
 

and on the uK projections 

https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/coronavirus-pandemic-neil-ferguson-did-not-walk-back-covid-19-predictions/