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Incitec Pivot Ltd T.IPL


Primary Symbol: ICPVF

Incitec Pivot Limited is an Australia-based manufacturer and supplier to the resources and agricultural sectors. Its segments include Asia Pacific and Americas. Asia Pacific segment includes Fertilisers Asia Pacific (Fertilisers APAC) and Dyno Nobel Asia Pacific (DNAP). Fertilisers APAC manufactures and sells fertilizers in Eastern Australia and the export market. It also manufactures, imports and sells industrial chemicals to the agricultural sector and other specialist industries. DNAP manufactures and sells industrial explosives and related products and services to the mining industry in the Asia Pacific region, Turkey and France. Americas segment includes Dyno Nobel Americas, which manufactures and sells industrial explosives and related products and services to the mining, quarrying and construction industries in the Americas (Canada, Mexico and Chile) and initiating systems to businesses in Australia, Turkey and South Africa. It also manufactures and sells industrial chemicals.


OTCPK:ICPVF - Post by User

Comment by hawk35on Mar 11, 2021 3:05pm
257 Views
Post# 32777670

RE:so now what?

RE:so now what?
I think $25 pre Heartland won't happen.  However this is how things could play out.
1. Brookfield continues with $16.50 unless IPL opens the books.
2. IPL refuses to open the books and the 105 day clock continues to tick.
3. Realizing $16.50 is going nowhere, Brookfield sweatens the offer to $18.50. (their plan all along)
4. In response, the market increases SP to $20.00.
5. IPL continues to reject Brookfield offer and refuses to open the books.
6. 105 day clock runs out.  Offer expires caused by  terminal shareholder boardom.
7. SP pulls back a bit but now moves in tandem with Heartland go live.

There are a few wild cards that could alter this.
1. Remainder of the storage division is sold for an attractive price.
2. A partner for Heartland is found (1/4 to 1/2 interest)
3. Heartland bookings of 2/3 or better is announced.
4. Improved Alberta oil patch conditions boost cash flow from IPL traditional business
5. Dividend is increase in response to #1, #2 or #4
6. A superior bid higher than $24 is received because of dramtically improved oil patch conditions.
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