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Semafo Inc. T.SMF

Semafo Inc is a Canadian mining company with gold production and exploration activities in Burkina Faso. The company's main operations are in Boungou, Burkina Faso, and Mana, Burkina Faso. Boungou is a relatively new production site that is located in southeastern Burkina Faso. The Mana project, which has been in operation longer, includes the Siou deposit, which is about 20 kilometers from the Mana Mine in Burkina Faso. Semafo has developed exploration strategies for future deposits in West Afr


TSX:SMF - Post by User

Post by carbideon Jan 23, 2019 11:23pm
354 Views
Post# 29274011

Reserve valuation

Reserve valuationMana / Boungou / Yactibo

Giidance midpoints:

Production, koz

185 / 65 / 0

AISC

1045 / 557.5 / 0

Reserves, moz

1.7 / 1.5 / 0

M&I Resources excl. reserves

2.7 / 0.4 / 0

Inferred Resources

0.8 / 0.05 / 0.6

Mana and Boungou are very nice assets, quite high grade open pits, at 3 and 4g, respectively.  Based on the 2P reserves and 1300 gold, you have about 400m and 1.1b in future EBITDA at Mana and Boungou, respectively.  A total of 1.5b is probably 1b after tax, based on the current mining code.  If you discount this for 7-8 years of production, it's probably worth 600m.  Add a little value for the resources, which are another 3-4moz, but at a lower grade and will produce later.  And the exploration properties.  You could argue there's a billion dollars of value here, assuming no discount for jurisdiction.  You never know whether miners will spend the money well, or in shareholders' favour, but at least they pay a dividend.  Market cap of 700m with zero net debt, it may be moderately undervalued.  Certainly, not as rich as other gold producers.  There is currently a discount for West Africa.  All Africa, for that matter!
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