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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Suncor Energy Inc. T.SU

Alternate Symbol(s):  SU

Suncor Energy Inc. is a Canada-based integrated energy company. The Company's segments include Oil Sands, Exploration and Production (E&P), and Refining and Marketing. Its operations include oil sands development, production and upgrading, offshore oil and gas production, petroleum refining in Canada and the United States and its Petro-Canada retail and wholesale distribution networks... see more

TSX:SU - Post Discussion

Suncor Energy Inc. > Crude Inventories: Another way of looking at it
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Post by MigraineCall on Sep 08, 2023 2:21pm

Crude Inventories: Another way of looking at it

Crude days of supply is a figure based on how long will the current supply last at the current demand rate. 

It is arguable whether this metric is as important as it was back in the 70's, where the US relied more on imports from the ME, and did not have as much domestic light oil production as they have today, including the reliability of today's Canadian imports.

A similar situation exists when someone retires, the kids are gone, and they are set up with a stable pension with a payment every month. Savings in the bank is not that important to have anymore.

That aside, by looking at the historical data, we can see just how far and how fast the US has rapidly depleted their crude stocks, even with current perceived low demand.

Oil prices are at a 10 month high, while crude inventories are at a 40 year low.

Now, at the same time, gasoline, diesel and heating oil inventories are also at very low levels.

Poor energy policy has contributed with the SPR drain, and restricting new and existing supply. Meanwhile demand has not fallen off a cliff, but is still strong domestically and increasing globally.

As new supply is not coming online, we had better hope that the US recession and depression comes along right away along with all those multi millions of new EVs to kill off demand, or at least another pandemic in order to at least stop the freefall shown on this chart.

Got oil?

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Comment by Clemxb7 on Sep 08, 2023 9:04pm
One thing about the SPR is less than half the stored oil now is the heavy type US refineries need. Too much light oil is a theme now when talking about US inventories and production in general. There is also some question about the stability of the salt caverns should they take too much oil out. I say this as someone who has no expertise on the matter (lol) though it sounds good! The world may ...more  
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