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Supremex Inc T.SXP

Alternate Symbol(s):  SUMXF

Supremex Inc. is a Canada-based company, which manufactures and markets envelopes and provides paper-based packaging solutions designed to the specifications of national and multinational corporations, direct mailers, resellers, government entities, small-medium enterprises (SMEs) and solutions providers. The Company operates through two segments: the manufacturing and sale of envelopes and the manufacturing and sale of paper-based packaging solutions and specialty products. It also manufactures and distributes a diverse range of packaging and specialty products, including high-end quality folding carton packaging and e-commerce fulfillment packaging solutions. Its other packaging and specialty products include the Conformer Products, labels, polyethylene bags for courier applications, bubble mailers and Enviro-logiX. It operates 10 manufacturing facilities across four provinces in Canada and six manufacturing facilities in four states in the United States.


TSX:SXP - Post by User

Comment by Torontojayon Dec 13, 2021 6:18am
130 Views
Post# 34224094

RE:SXP worth over $5 per share, 100% more than current SP?

RE:SXP worth over $5 per share, 100% more than current SP?

shareholders1 wrote: SXP needs to be taken out by larger US competitor to surface SXP real & hidden value.

Worth over $5 and maybe $6 per share?


Possible rationale for over $5 per share:

1. Before sale of 2 owned real estate properties:

Annualized cash flow (Q3 6,694,995 X 4)  = 26,779,980 @ just 6x multiple = 160m
Less Debt of say $52m (but will likely be lower at the Dec 2021 year end)
Equity value = 160m - 52m = 108m / 26,714,067 shares   = $4 per share

2. After sale and lease back of 2 owned real estate properties: 

Assuming the 2 properties combined after tax value is about 52m, meaning sufficient to fully pay down $52m debt. Cash flow remains the same after sale and lease back, because higher rents are offset by eliminated interest costs:

6 x CF = 160m
Equity value now (because debt is gone) = 160m
160m/ 26,714,067   = $6 per share

3. Check:  Compare to Book Value per Share:

Current BV = 94m/26.7m = 3.50 per share

Adjusted Book value after sale and lease back = about $5 per share


Hi shareholders, one point I'd like to make is that you should include lease liabilities both current portion and long as part of your enterprise value if you're including right of use depreciation and lease interest as part of your cash flow numbers. 

I personally like to go back pre Ifrs-16; that is, I subtract the lease repayment from cash flow but I only include interest bearing debt as part of my enterprise value. Either way, both should give you the same final answer. 

 

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