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Tembec Inc. T.TMB.W

"Tembec Inc along with its subsidiaries operates an integrated forest products business. It produces lumber & building materials, manufactures & markets specialty cellulose & high-yield pulps, and produces & sells coated bleached board & newsprint."


TSX:TMB.W - Post by User

Comment by FarmerInvestor4on May 26, 2017 11:31am
104 Views
Post# 26288406

RE:With a cool head

RE:With a cool head
rinm99 wrote: Can someone confirm that my calculation are good this morning:
So final deal is that we are ALL ALLOW  to the at least 37% of the Ryam share part! Meaning that all share holders have the same right!

If its the case, at the current level of RYAM at 15,38$, the real price of each share of tmb the deal is around 4,30 $CAN!

Am I right?
Oups Ryam is at 15,68$ now ;)




Using your number of $15.68 per RYAM share here is how I figure it out.

.63 shares TMB X $4.05 = $2.55
.37 shares TMB converts to 0.085 shares of RYAM X $15.68/share  X 1.3459 $CAD = $1.79

Total share would convert to $4.34 ($2.55 + $1.79) this morning...

So yes, close to $4.30 as you mention

$USD to $CAD Conversion as I write this post is 1.3459

One has to watch RYAM share price and $USD to $CAD conversion on a daily basis.  The 0.63 Shares of TMB to cash is a given.

I have read that the deal is expected to go through "Second Half" of 2017...

I have not confirmed details of whether each individual shareholder will be offered the 63% and 37% deal, or what.  However, my expectation is the shareprices will play out like the above example....  It is beneficial to hold at this point in time as TMB is trading at $4.15 so that means to hold is worth a 19 cent premium today.  

So here is the gamble....  Do you sell all your TMB shares today, sacrifice your 19 penny premium and just buy RYAM? (which has jumped over $2.50 USD since the announcement).

I read that with the merger, Rayonier expects $2 Billion in sales with $400 million EBITDA which is 5X.  Is that decent lumber people???  I am just a dirt farmer who knows a lot more about growing crops vs. lumber industry.


Thoughts anyone?

And Good Luck!
FI4

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