From TUD BoardShould TUD buyout AMK ?? This is a well written post and may explain the strength of AMK lately... Do I agree with it? I would want to be sold on the argument of why AMk would sell out to TUD for a premium vs holding out but I do believe there may be merit in it. A well written post.
We have 3 owners of TC: TUD, AMK and TUO
We have 1 funder for 100% of costs to get to exploration decision: TUD
So who are you going to invest in, other things being equal?: TUD who funds 100% of costs, or AMK/TUO that get a FREE RIDE to production?????
Enough with the sophistry. Face the facts staring us in the face!!!
Larry60 wrote:rockport,
if we look at todays market prices, AMKs "value" should be made up of:
1) 20% piece of TC relative to TUD's 60% piece, and
2) The value of AMK's free carry to production decision.
The answer to 1 above is easy: .1788 based on exisitng TUD sahre price but would likely been to be adjusted upward to factor in all of TUDs outstanding warrants.
The anwer to 2 is a little bit wore difficult. How much is needed to be spent to get to a production decision? $60 million? $100 million? $200 million? I think it is fair to say $100 million which means thats $20 million for benefit of AMK. So that adds another 5 cents a share taking us to .2288 per share.
But there is another thing that must be factored in. If its a share deal, and I see no other way for BOTH parties, AMK will then effectively be funding part of TUOs free carry they will be funding 25% of it (AMK SHs will acount for 25% of the oustanding TUD shares). SO that adds another $5M which is another 1.25 cents takingus to .2413 for AMK share.
Finally, there should be a funding risk premium. AMK is not UNDER the gun to fund anything, TUD is. THis puts severe pressure on share price. I wont put a number on that cuz I dont want to upset those who dont realize the danger of holding TUD vs AMK/TUO
rockport1 wrote:Given that Tudor is only receiving 60% of the benefit for every dollar spent, should they consider a buyout of AMK now? Then they would be receiving 80% benefit for every dollar spent, with Teuton the remaining 20% free ride.
With today's market conditions, could they do so with an all share offer? Would this dilution be worth it? I ask about AMK because Teuton is so slow to spin-out their Treaty Creek interest, which, arguably, would make it more difficult to acquire.
Comments?