RBC Estimate $17.64/boe Netback in 2020.RBC have estimated a $17.64/boe netback for PIPE in 2020.
This estimate is net earnings after production costs, royalties, admin, transport, debt and hedging are factored in.
For the sake of stimulating a cogent and reasoned discussion I have tried to figure out where our SP could hit in 2020 if that number is achieved.
At 16k BOE per day x 17.64 that is $282,240.
I won't multiply by 365 days because we know there will be '3rd party issues' plus maintenance shutdowns. I will optimistically use 320 days as the operational target. Which would be $90,316,800 in earnings for the year or $0.475 per share based on 190,000,000 shares. Warrants don't count unless they pay the entry fee which would add 60,000,000 in capital.
Taking the industry standard P/E of 18 and multiply that to the per share earnings results in a theoretical SP of $8.55.
Now before anyone goes off on a rant, I am not saying it will reach that value in 2020 because it is based on so many assumptions and estimates. However, it does indicate that current valuation is massively undervalued even at 50% of that theoretical target. For the bullish the estimate could be lower than what it turns out to be if production ramps up as expected and condensate and gas prices stay strong.