Post by
apapas1973 on Jul 03, 2023 12:12am
A very conservative NAV valuation for CNC.
Just to quickly conceptualize some numbers when it comes to a valuation. I'm going to further dilute as well since some are constantly focused on that.
The NAV of Crawford is 1.2 billion based on the PEA. But the measured and indicated have roughly doubled since then so the delayed feasibility should show the upgrade. If I recall, Mark was stating somewhere around 1.7-1.8 billion NAV but I don't think the upgraded resource was out just yet. It came in above their expectations. But I'll use 1.8 billion regardless. In the last video Mark states the going rate for an expandable project (not Dumont) receives in a buyout somewhere around 1.2-1.5 times the NAV. I'll use 1.2.
I'll also add 35 million shares to the float of 140 million . So a total of 175 million shares outstanding and I'll use today's price of 1.25. I'm trying to keep numbers at a minimum.
Based on the above info, we'll have a market cap of roughly 220 million. A NAV of 1.8 billion and a premium on these numbers of 1.2 times the NAV in a buyout. The buyout valuation comes in at roughly 2.2 billion and the share price of that, roughly $12. This is just for Crawford. There are obviously other factors that could influence the numbers up or down (further dilution, nickel fluctuations etc) but this gives an idea at the discount we're trading at. If these numbers even remotely play out, we've got a lot of catching up to do. GLTA
Comment by
cashworx79 on Jul 03, 2023 1:10am
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Comment by
CEOofEPO on Jul 03, 2023 9:33pm
The entire canadian shield is low grade nickel bro
Comment by
CravingProfits on Jul 03, 2023 10:32pm
...and the ocean is full of fish. Should i be buying a commercial fishing boat.? I have a good feeling for next week btw. Please do mot prove me wrong Glta