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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Centaurus Energy Inc V.CTA

Alternate Symbol(s):  CTARF

Centaurus Energy Inc. is a Canada-based company. The Company is focused on managing the future proceeds from the Overriding Royalty Interest payable by Pan American Energy, (the PAE ORRI), which may include investment in new endeavors and/or capital returns.

TSXV:CTA - Post Discussion

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Post by TouchDown12 on Apr 03, 2020 3:40pm

NEWS!!!

Centaurus Energy Inc. (Formerly Madalena Energy Inc.) Announces 172% Growth in Proved and 178% Growth in Proved Plus Probable Reserves of Tight Oil
03 Apr 2020 08:02 ET
Newsfile Corp

Buenos Aires, Argentina--(Newsfile Corp. - April 3, 2020) - Centaurus Energy Inc. (TSXV: CTA) (OTCQX: CTARF) ("Centaurus" or the "Company") is pleased to announce the results of its annual independent reserves assessment as at December 31, 2019.

All dollar amounts are in United States dollars and all reserves and production volumes are on a working interest before royalties ("WI") basis and are expressed in barrels ("bbl") of oil equivalent ("boe"), unless otherwise indicated.

Centaurus' Interim CEO David Tawil commented: "In 2019, Centaurus grew its reserves across all reserves categories, largely thanks to a successful initial pilot development plan being put in place for the Vaca Muerta shale on the Coiron Amargo Sur Este (CASE) block. We are excited to have generated this substantial reserves growth with the activity levels the Company had in 2019, in advance of 2020, during which we expect to finalize the pilot development in CASE."

2019 Year-End Reserves Report: Discussion of Reserves

Centaurus' year end 2019 reserves were evaluated by independent qualified reserves evaluators GLJ Petroleum Consultants Ltd. ("GLJ"). The evaluation of Centaurus' properties in Argentina was done in accordance with the definitions, standards and procedures contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook and National Instrument 51-101 - Standards of Disclosure for Oil and Gas Activities.

The following tables summarize information contained in the independent reserves report prepared by GLJ with an effective date of December 31, 2019, dated January 24, 2020 (the "GLJ 2019 Report"), with comparatives to the independent reserves report prepared by GLJ with an effective date of December 31, 2018 (the "GLJ 2018 Report", and collectively with the GLJ 2019 Report and the GLJ 2018 Report, the "GLJ Reports"). Additional reserve information as required under NI 51-101 will be included in the Company's Annual Information Form which the Company expects to file on SEDAR by April 22, 2020. Consistent with the Company's reporting currency, all amounts are in United States dollars unless otherwise noted.

The recovery and reserve estimates provided in this news release are estimates only, and there is no guarantee that the estimated reserves will be recovered. Actual reserves may eventually prove to be greater than, or less than, the estimates provided herein. In certain of the tables set forth below, the columns may not add due to rounding.

All December 31, 2019 reserves presented are based on industry consensus pricing for January 1, 2020. Industry consensus pricing is based on the average price forecasts from the three largest reserves evaluation companies in Canada - GLJ Petroleum Consultants, McDaniel and Associates and Sproule Associates Limited. ("Industry Consensus"); all December 31, 2018 reserves presented are based on Industry Consensus pricing effective January 1, 2019.

Centaurus' reserves are located in Argentina's Neuquen and Noroeste basins.

2019 Year-End Gross Reserves Volumes

  December 31, Increase
Reserves Category 2018 2019 over
    Dec 31, 2018
Mboe(1) Mboe(1)(2) %
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) 2,245 1,909 -15%
Proved Developed Non-Producing 838 787 -6%
Proved Undeveloped 1,795 2,964 65%
Proved (1P) 4,878 5,660 16%
Probable 5,866 11,219 91%
Proved + Probable (2P) 10,744 16,880 57%
Possible(3) 7,928 9,798 24%
Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) 18,672 26,677 43%

 

(1) Mboe is defined as thousand barrels of oil equivalent.

(2) All reserves are presented as Centaurus working interest before royalties. 2019 net reserves after royalties are: PDP 1,583 Mboe, proved developed non-producing 658 Mboe, proved undeveloped 2,504 Mboe, 1P 4,744 Mboe, 2P 14,230 Mboe and 3P 22,528 Mboe.

(3) Please refer to the "Oil and Gas Advisory" section for a description of each reserve category. Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.

2019 Gross Reserves by Block

Block     Proved +
  Proved+ Probable +
Proved Probable Possible
Mboe(1) Mboe(1) Mboe(1)
Coiron Amargo Norte (CAN) 266 749 1,107
Coiron Amargo Sur Este (CASE) 2,617 10,553 18,406
Palmar Largo 584 657 717
Puesto Morales 1,470 3,494 4,808
Surubi 540 1031 1,164
Other Blocks 183 396 475
Total 5,660 16,880 26,677

 

(1) All reserves are presented as Centaurus working interest before royalties. Please refer to the "Oil and Gas Advisory" section for a description of each reserve category. Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.

2019 Gross Year-End Reserves Volumes by Product Type(1)

Product Type Proved Total Total Proved Total Proved+
Developed Proved + Probable Probable +
Producing     Possible
Light & Medium Crude Oil (Mbbl)(2) 1,141 2,553 5,286 6,942
Tight Crude Oil (Mbbl) 425 2,612 10,331 17,885
Conventional Natural Gas (MMcf)(3) 2,059 2,936 6,247 7,971
Shale Gas (MMcf)(3) 0 35 1,331 3,129
Oil Equivalent (Mboe) 1,909 5,660 16,880 26,677

 

(1) All reserves are presented as Centaurus working interest before royalties. Please refer to the "Oil and Gas Advisory" section for a description of each reserve category. Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.

(2) Mbbl is defined as thousands of barrels.

(3) MMcf is defined as one million cubic feet.

2019 Tight Oil Year-End Gross Reserves Volumes

  December 31, Increase
Reserves Category 2018 2019 over
    Dec 31, 2018
Mbbl Mbbl(1) %
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) 186 425 128%
Proved Developed Non-Producing 0 0 0%
Proved Undeveloped 777 2,186 181%
Proved (1P) 962 2,612 172%
Probable 2,751 7,720 181%
Proved + Probable (2P) 3,714 10,331 178%
Possible(2) 4,991 7,553 51%
Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) 8,705 17,885 105%

 

(1) All reserves are presented as Centaurus working interest before royalties. 2019 net reserves after royalties are: PDP 362 Mbbl, proved undeveloped 1,858 Mbbl, 1P 2,220 Mbbl, 2P 8,782 Mbbl and 3P 15,202 Mbbl.

(2) Please refer to the "Oil and Gas Advisory" section for a description of each reserve category. Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.

Crude Oil Price Forecast - GLJ Report

The price forecast used for the GLJ Report is based on Industry Consensus pricing for January 1, 2020.

Forecast Prices used in Estimates effective January 1, 2020

Brent Blend Crude Oil
Year % Inflation USD/bbl
2020 0.0 65.25
2021 1.8 67.28
2022 2.0 69.98
2023 2.0 71.52
2024 2.0 73.08
2025 2.0 74.42
2026 2.0 76.03
2027 2.0 77.61
2028 2.0 79.15
2029 2.0 80.71
2030 2.0 82.32
2031 2.0 83.97
2032 2.0 85.65
2033 2.0 87.36
2034 2.0 89.11
2035+ 2.0 +2.0%/yr

 

Reconciliation of Brent Price Forecast - Industry Consensus Pricing

  2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Brent (USD$/bbl) - January 1, 2019 65.92 69.47 71.65 73.72 75.58 77.39
Brent (USD$/bbl) - January 1, 2020   65.25 67.28 69.98 71.52 73.08

 

Reserves Net Present Value Before Tax Summary - Industry Consensus Pricing Forecast(1)

Reserves Category NPV10 NPV10 Increase
December December over
31, 2018 31, 2019 Dec 31-2018
(MM) (MM) %
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) $15.6 $11.6 -26%
Proved Developed Non-Producing $8.6 $8.5 -1%
Proved Undeveloped $5.6 $4.8 -14%
Proved (1P) $29.7 $25.0 -16%
Probable $53.7 $104.9 95%
Proved + Probable (2P) $83.4 $129.9 56%
Possible(2) $107.3 $148.1 38%
Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) $190.8 $278.0 46%

 

(1) Net present values ("NPV10") are stated in USD and are discounted at 10 percent. Please refer to the "Oil and Gas Advisory" section for a description of each reserve category. The forecast prices used in the calculation of the present value of future net revenue are based on the Industry Consensus January 1, 2019 and Industry Consensus January 1, 2020 price forecasts, respectively. The Industry Consensus January 1, 2020 price forecast will be included in the Company's Annual Information Form.

(2) Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.

Reserves Net Present Value After Tax Summary - GLJ Brent Forecast(1)

Reserves Category NPV10 NPV10 Increase
December December over
31, 2018 31, 2019 Dec 31-2018
(MM) (MM) %
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) $15.6 $11.6 -26%
Proved Developed Non-Producing $8.6 $8.5 -1%
Proved Undeveloped $3.9 $4.2 8%
Proved (1P) $28.1 $24.3 -14%
Probable $36.8 $65.7 79%
Proved + Probable (2P) $64.9 $90.1 39%
Possible(2) $83.8 $99.9 19%
Proved + Probable + Possible (3P) $148.7 $189.9 28%

 

(1) Net present values are stated in USD and are discounted at 10 percent. All reserves are presented as Centaurus working interest before royalties. Please refer to the "Oil and Gas Advisory" section for a description of each reserve category. The forecast prices used in the calculation of the present value of future net revenue are based on the Industry Consensus January 1, 2019 and Industry Consensus January 1, 2020 price forecasts, respectively. The Industry Consensus January 1, 2020 price forecast will be included in the Company's Annual Information Form.

(2) Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves.

Reserve Life Index ("RLI")

  Dec. 31, 2018(1) Dec. 31, 2019(2)
Proved Developed Producing (PDP) 3.6 2.5
Proved (1P) 7.7 7.4
Proved Plus Probable (2P) 17.0 22.2

 

(1) Calculated by dividing the amount of the relevant reserves category by average Q4 2018 production of 1,730 boe/d annualized.

(2) Calculated by dividing the amount of the relevant reserves category by estimated average Q4 2019 production of 2,086 boe/d annualized.

2019 Year-End Reconciliation of Company Gross Reserves

  Total Proved Total Proved + Total Proved +
  Probable Probable +
  Possible
Mboe Mboe Mboe
December 31, 2018 4,878 10,744 18,672
Technical Revisions -504 -324 -1,427
Extensions & Improved Recovery(1) 2,027 7,201 10,173
Acquisitions 0 0 0
Economic Factors 0 0 0
Production -741 -741 -741
December 31, 2019(2) 5,660 16,880 26,677

 

(1) Extensions & improved recovery are predominantly associated with the evaluations of the Coiron Amargo Sur Este (CASE) block.

(2) Subject to final reconciliation adjustments. All reserves are presented as Centaurus working interest before royalties. Please refer to the "Oil and Gas Advisory" section for a description of each reserve category. Possible reserves are those additional reserves that are less certain to be recovered than probable reserves. There is a 10% probability that the quantities recovered will equal or exceed the sum of proved plus probable plus possible reserves. The estimates of reserves and future net revenue for individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level as estimates of reserves and future net revenue for all properties, due to the effects of aggregation.

Future Development Costs

FDC reflects GLJ's best estimate of what it will cost to bring the proved undeveloped and probable reserves on production. Changes in forecast FDC occur annually as a result of development activities, acquisition and disposition activities, and changes in capital cost estimates based on improvements in well design and performance, as well as changes in service costs. FDC for total 2P Argentina reserves increased to $245.6 million at year-end 2019 from $143.3 million at year-end 2018.

($ millions) Total Proved Total Proved Plus Probable
2020 21.9 22.0
2021 26.7 41.1
2022 9.4 75.1
2023 15.0 51.4
Remainder 6.6 56.0
Total (undiscounted) 79.6 245.6

 

About Centaurus Energy

Centaurus is an independent upstream oil and gas company with both conventional and unconventional oil and gas operations in Argentina. The Company's shares trade on the TSX Venture Exchange under the symbol CTA and on the OTCQX under the symbol CTARF.

For further information please contact:

David Tawil

Interim Chief Executive Officer

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