Post by
Lonegaurdian19 on Oct 15, 2022 2:32pm
If they hit
Curious to hear others opinions on what y'all think will happen if they hit on Gazania. Gil has said previously he's not a hard hat guy, IE they'd like to monetize rather than produce. So with that is the last step a single appraisal? It is my understanding it takes roughly 4 years to produce (appraisal, FID, equipment, approval). Ever heard of an expidited well coming online in less than that? The fact this well is shallow and not far offshore is an obvious plus but the process seems slow and quite expensive. Given SA's current need for oil do you think they'd fast-track this?
just throwing this out there. Interested in any and all opinions
Comment by
Timberdoodle on Oct 15, 2022 3:56pm
10 bagger whitin weeks lets say before Christmas.jmho....Reco went from .80 to 4$ than 9$ without much !
Comment by
Lonegaurdian19 on Oct 16, 2022 8:15pm
The royalty idea is an interesting one. If they got a royalty per barrel on one or all three blocks and folded it into a royalty trust it would change things. You'd offer the near to mid term capitalization of the assets in the stock price and a much longer term holding that potentially would spit out dividends years from now. Not saying they'd do that but it would be interesting.
Comment by
Lonegaurdian19 on Oct 16, 2022 8:41pm
I agree, I was just thinking out loud. Either way if there is a royalty the NPV of the future cash flows would be a consideration of any aquiror. Wouldn't really make much sense paying the admin fees on a public royalty trust that is 4 years from receiving cash flows. I think Gil has a unique way of strutting deals so who knows. Excited to see what's to come.
Comment by
Stampeder on Oct 16, 2022 9:02pm
Doesn't have to be a binary decision. As mentioned it's the discounted cash flow that would factor into any offer that involved a royalty. I expect, or at least hope, that Gil would focus on a sale of the proven asset and negotiate a minimal royalty just to keep the home fires fueled.