RE: RE: RE: Pat McKeough"Analysts already have 149 mmbbls penciled in- are you in that ballpark?"
I haven't seen any of the analyst reports so I don't know what they are using in their assumptions, but that number you quoted is 1 mmbbls over my cals when using a recovery rate of 25%.
But this is light oil 37-45 API with good porosity in the reservoir so the recovery rates could and should be higher. Around 35-40%, IMHO.
This is all based on assumptions so I take it with a grain of salt. So their is upside and downside to those numbers, depending on what future drilling shows based on net payzones and reservoir characteristics.