Post by
old_dog on Nov 14, 2020 4:10pm
O.K. I got a minute
I listened to some of the video again and picked out a few things.
1) It takes 18 months to get a machine bought through the procurement process in most hospitals. So,you can remove hard sales from the equation. George did mention that folks that did the outright purchases had all been done well before covid.
2) Lets bring the units down to 5,000 units in total in the next 18 months. These would all be lease units unless there was a buy-option placed in the lease agreement. That has yet to be established. Again it's aprocurement delay issue.
So lets use the 5,000 units a a base 12 months out. In 12 months the company should be at monthly rental cash flow of 6,250,000 just for units.
Because these would be lease units we have to factor in the usages
1 week 5 days....8 uses per day (we know it will be higher as the unit is designed to fore go MRI's which take anywhere between 45 minutes to 5 hours depending on the required data). So that gives us 40 uses per week with 200 free uses per rental annually or a total of 1880 uses per machine per year
So
5000 units * 1880 uses after 200 free uses per lease per year
at $50.00 per use annually is $470,000,000.00 or a monthly revenue/cash flow of 39,166,666.67
When it's all said and done your talking .....$39.1 million in income per month...again...per month....on 5,000 units......
Even if you cut this amount in 1/2 to 2,500 units your still talking a company that's bringing in 240 million a year......and the shares at at 9.5 cents.....
As I have said before this will become a CASH PIG.......can you folks can tell me what a cash pig is worth?????.....Also in the video George makes mention of $5,000.00 to $7,500.00 as the fee for outright sold units. So, I already see a 50% increase in the annual fee for sold units.
He also mentioned Clinics as a focal point of leases. This may enhance the scaling out of units at a quicker pace as clinics can utilize the untis to a higher degree. Clinics are also time driven and specialize so to get some rental units out should be a no brainer...
Stay long.......if anyone sees an error in my math then please feel free to correct me......or if they think using 5,000 units a year from now is too much then please tell me that as well or if I missed something..........
old_dog
Comment by
SirStocksalot97 on Nov 14, 2020 4:53pm
You must have a lot of time on your hands. Your posts always either steer away from the realistic topic at hand or are a highly speculative over-analysis of the situation, both current and future. Yes, longs need to patient but we also need to tone it down a notch and not get caught up in our own dreams. SS
Comment by
chry200030 on Nov 15, 2020 2:34pm
How realistic is it that they will have 5,000 units after 12 months. I read somewhere they were trying to get to 80-100. It would be nice to see 5,000 units.. ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ So lets use the 5,000 units a a base 12 months out. In 12 months the company should be at monthly rental cash flow of 6,250,000 just for units.