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VIRGINIA HILLS OIL CORP VFGGF

"Virginia Hills Oil Corp, formerly Pinecrest Energy Inc was incorporated under the ABCA on March 24, 2006 under the name Testudo Oil & Gas Exploration Ltd. The Company is a Calgary, Alberta-based oil and natural gas exploration, production and development company with operations in the Canadian provinces of Alberta and Saskatchewan."


GREY:VFGGF - Post by User

Comment by ofirmeon Jan 15, 2014 5:08am
176 Views
Post# 22092482

RE:RE:Canacorde price target just mentioned on BNN .30 !

RE:RE:Canacorde price target just mentioned on BNN .30 !I have to admit that your read of the management was right. the assets are worth a lot of money, 
 but it has to be managed by people with better skills. you do not hide when problems arise.
especially not when you are postponing by two months projects that were supposed to narrow or
 close the gap between your forecasted numbers and your otherwise production numbers...
They sacrifised 260BOPD on these projects by converting them to injectors, but the injection
 has not started for three month. that can be disclosed to all shareholders and not just to a
select few who have been selling as if they were printing money...
even worse, those three projects had their 17 offseting wells going down for two months 
 instead of advancing slightely by now. instead of being beyond pre injection total rates, we are
 at least 300 bellow. that is a 300-400BOPD difference. 
I know that I believe in hard numbers, so as long as the assets can generate a future cashflow to
 cover the debt, we should be fine. 
I wish someone could tell how much the savings from the other water source will be compared to
 what I assumed (24 x $400,000 = $9.6M total cost of the projects).
I am reading that one offseting well is not producing and two others are producing more oil than
 anticipated.
The only good news is that they confirm the waterflooding produces over 100% increase over
 primary within 9 month and that is for a problematic well... at least I know what to expect...

loss of three otter projects:      350BOPD
loss of offseting well:                  60BOPD
underperforming three wells: 100BOPD

Total explained differences could be 510. added to 2308 = 2818. still short of 3100 as the 
 target for Q4 exit. 
At this point, either well understood explainations are required on an ongoing basis, or 
 someone will replace management by buying it or just a small activist investor doing its thing.
The value is there, but the management is a detrement to the asset value being rightfully 
 presented and explained - no spins, hiding, games. just plain words.
Good luck.

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