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FormerXBC Inc XEBEQ

Xebec Adsorption Inc designs, engineers, and manufactures products that are used for purification, separation, dehydration, and filtration equipment for gases and compressed air. The company operates in three reportable segments: Systems, Corporate and other, and Support. Its product lines are natural gas dryers for natural gas refueling stations, compressed gas filtration, biogas purification, associated gas, engineering services, and air dryers. The company's geographical segments are United States, Canada, China, Other, Korea, Italy, and France.


GREY:XEBEQ - Post by User

Post by Ciaoon Mar 18, 2022 10:15pm
197 Views
Post# 34527281

Analysts targets: average of $3.44

Analysts targets: average of $3.44IMHO, market liked the results when released yesterday. The "downgrades" that followed led some to sell today.

Take these analysts targets with a grain of salt. They may change targets after investor's day when XBC rolls out the strategic 3 year plan. It's arbitrary as to what valuation multiple they give and without guidance they use their own rev estimates. As I suggested before, you could come out with your own personal target price based on what you choose say for the EV/S or P/S multiple and apply that to your rev estimate say for 2022. With the mutiplier effect of these numbers, you can see how a wide range of price targets can emerge.

Take particular note of Cormark's $1.50 SELL recommendation (the only one in this group of 9).  They provide highest rev est for 2022 yet the lowest  EV/S multiple of 1.25.  A target below book ($2) suggests a liquidation value, but I left it here for fairness although IMHO it's ridiculous. RJ's 2022 rev est seems low. The price targets range from $1.50 to $6USD ($7.60). These moving targets will change throughout the year.

Eight Capital: $2.40, 2022 rev of $187M,  combo 2X rev and 1X NAV
Beacon: $2.50, 2022 rev of $196M, 1.8X EV/S
Canacord: $2.50, 2022 rev of $188M, $2X EV/S
Cormark: $1.50, 2022, rev of $223M, 1.25X EV/S
Desjardins: $4.50, 2023 rev of $206M, 4X EV/S
National Bank: $4, 10% DCF model
Raymond James : $3, 2022 rev of  $157M, 3X EV/S
TD : $3, 1X NAV = 2022 EV/S of 2.7X (2022 rev of 193M)
Craig Hallum:  $6USD, 2022 rev of $189M, 5X EV/S with 2023 rev of $240M

Avg = $3.44
               

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