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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum FormerXBC Inc XEBEQ

Xebec Adsorption Inc designs, engineers, and manufactures products that are used for purification, separation, dehydration, and filtration equipment for gases and compressed air. The company operates in three reportable segments: Systems, Corporate and other, and Support. Its product lines are natural gas dryers for natural gas refueling stations, compressed gas filtration, biogas purification,... see more

GREY:XEBEQ - Post Discussion

FormerXBC Inc > relative valuation of XBC and GRN
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Post by Ciao on Dec 26, 2020 11:35am

relative valuation of XBC and GRN

GRN has had a spectacular run and in the last 2 trading days it was up 33%.  Some analysts had earlier called for GRN as a “cheaper” alternative to XBC.  It has overshot now and XBC should outpace GRN in the next little while with the recent catalysts. GRN is no longer cheap relative to XBC.

Using closing prices of $8.03 and $2.49 for XBC and GRN respectively, P/S are as follows;

P/S for XBC (using TTM rev. (adding $17M for HyGear, nothing for Inmatec, 153M shares o/s) of $81M)
= $1.23B / $81M = 15.2

P/S for GRN
= $265M / $17M =15.6

When comparing the 2 companies, ie.  management / balance sheet / product offerings / partnerships / quality of assets / conversion rate on quote book / reputation / forward looking revenues, etc. there is no reason now to pick GRN over XBC
Comment by ZouZS3 on Dec 26, 2020 12:06pm
Basically, keep GRN if you have some, but if had more funds to invest I'd choose XBC. GRN was way too undervalued it was about 40 cents 6 months ago and today it's not anymore. Guess XBC's SP 6 months from now. Hint: inefficient market, XBC is way too undervalued at this moment
Comment by newcoin on Dec 26, 2020 1:13pm
The price is low but the value is not there. GRN has had an unbelievable run, riding on the XBC wave. Congratulations to all GRN shareholders. Sell GRN and buy XBC before it opens on the TSX.
Comment by ZouZS3 on Dec 26, 2020 1:30pm
you convinced me
Comment by LongoGlueStick on Dec 26, 2020 1:40pm
I am not an expert on the RNG industry, but it is my understanding that Greenlane does not service the digesters that they sell. Xebec does sell the equipment and also services the installations that they sell.  I wonder if Xebec could service Greenlane's installations, thereby helping to make Xebec more money on the service side?
Comment by kulewater on Dec 26, 2020 6:17pm
I think you'll see GRN start to fade. They are essentially a reseller of tec/parts and service. And most of their projects are under quoted and over expensed.  I believe there are still some very large motions happening beyond the news that has already been shared by XBC management. The amount of influence and reach the executive team now has is world class. They are lining up all the ...more  
Comment by tamaracktop on Dec 26, 2020 7:03pm
Personally, I have no idea where Greenlane is going.  I admit that it looked better at 65 cents on the way back up than it ever had, both fundamentally and technically, but now that it's $2.50, I don't have a clue.     I only know two things about Greenlane for sure, neither of which can be construed as a judgement call that it's topping out.     The first ...more  
Comment by tamaracktop on Dec 26, 2020 7:21pm
Google: What is a stock's beta. ....I just did. It provides a reasonable explanation of exactly what I'm talking about.
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