GREY:ZMSPF - Post by User
Comment by
riskseekeron Jan 08, 2014 10:39pm
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Post# 22072348
RE:RE:RE:RE:Well all your predictions seem
RE:RE:RE:RE:Well all your predictions seem True.
If you invest on a position and not on metrics the following is my guideline that has always (almost ;) worked out in the long run:
If a stock you hold drops:
1- Reevaluate if you think the 'company' is a good position based on profits, EPS and other information. Evaluate the reason for the drop. If it still a good position, double down. (This is how I have made my $$...I generally look for solid companies that have dropped for unexpected delays or technical problems and that should not have persistent effect on the long term profitabiliy of the company. )
2- If you judge that your investement is a now a bad position get out, no matter what the loss. (obviously)!
For exemple, I got out of BB (blackberry) as soon as bad news arrived since I thought this was now a bad investement, very risky and loss some $$$ but not so much since I got out early. Once M. Chan come in I jumped back in and will surely be out soon.
Zecotech is different. If you are playing Markham, then a loss is a loss. It was a bad bet. I however hold a position on zecotech for their optics business and look forward to the Markham decision to move on with other business. In this sense a drop to 30 cents, would bring ZMS to a market cap. of 30M. that is very low for such a business. Would be ready to invest large $$ at that price, since markham is not my play! I think the drop will b exagerated and short lived and caused by investors trying to get out of the loss play on markham. In this sense I am watching closely. (if i did not hold any ZMS now, I would still follow the decision to jump in the day of the crash...I follow other companies for similar plays...over the years this is the type of play that has made me the most $$$)
But to each his own. Best of luck, if markham is a winner we both win. Cheers.