TSX:LSG.DB - Post by User
Post by
west12on May 02, 2006 1:22am
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Post# 10779966
Canaccord Notes on Gold
Canaccord Notes on GoldGold Futures June '06 (GOLDC : NYMEX : US$654.40)
Net Change: 18.20, % Change: 2.86%
People were still asking who shot J.R. and Arnold was still asking what you
were talking about. Gold hit levels on Friday it hasn't seen since late
1980, though gold stocks are still lagging bullion. The media fingered U.N.
Security Council officially stated that Iran failed to meet its deadline to
halt uranium enrichment and has refused to cooperate with U.N. appointed
inspectors. It does not hurt the U.S. dollar continues to break down. A
lower dollar makes the dollar-denominated commodities cheaper for non-
American buyers and is arguably a major reason why the U.S. dollar belongs
lower. Also, UBS raised price target on gold, which received a lot of media
attention. "Fund flows into commodities as an asset class has been more
vigorous than anticipated, driven by strong underlying fundamentals
supported by a broad questioning of the value of the U.S. dollar," they
said. UBS expects gold to average US$630 an ounce this year and US$750 next
year. On a risk-adjusted basis, gold would have to hit US$2,200 on an
inflation-adjusted terms in order to match the 1980 high of US$850. Prices
are not as high as they may appear.