Join today and have your say! It’s FREE!

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Please Try Again
{{ error }}
By providing my email, I consent to receiving investment related electronic messages from Stockhouse.

or

Sign In

Please Try Again
{{ error }}
Password Hint : {{passwordHint}}
Forgot Password?

or

Please Try Again {{ error }}

Send my password

SUCCESS
An email was sent with password retrieval instructions. Please go to the link in the email message to retrieve your password.

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Quote  |  Bullboard  |  News  |  Opinion  |  Profile  |  Peers  |  Filings  |  Financials  |  Options  |  Price History  |  Ratios  |  Ownership  |  Insiders  |  Valuation

Sulliden Gold Corporation Ltd T.SUE.WT



TSX:SUE.WT - Post by User

Post by CaitMeigon Sep 20, 2006 11:09am
223 Views
Post# 11390014

Paradigm

ParadigmHe's upbeat about it at least. Don Blyth, Analyst, (416) 360-3461 1 Don Maclean, Sr. Analyst, (416) 360-3459 September 20, 2006 SULLIDEN EXPLORATION INC. (SUE-T $0.89) Shahuindo Claims Registered in Sulliden’s Name Sulliden Should be Active on Project by Year End • After a long battle over the ownership of the Shahuindo property, the claims are now all registered in Sulliden’s name, which means it is the only company recognized to have the right to explore the ground. • It will take a couple of months to get all the paperwork (permits) necessary, but the company expects to be actively drilling on the property by year-end. • We believe these events significantly lower the risk profile of Sulliden, and we are raising our rating to a Speculative Buy (was Hold) and our target price to $1.35 (was $0.80). Shahuindo Claims Now Fully Registered in Sulliden’s Name Sulliden recently reported (Sep 13th) that its wholly-owned Peruvian subsidiary, Minera Sulliden Shahuindo S.A.C. (“Sulliden Peru”) has obtained from the SUNARP (the official Peruvian state registry) office in Trujillo, the notification of registration for 20 of the 26 mining concessions of the Shahuindo gold-silver Property. The six other mining concessions are already registered at the SUNARP’s Lima office. The registration was effected following the Decision of the Arbitration Tribunal dated July 19, 2006 in Sulliden’s favour confirming the validity of the Transfer Contract for the Shahuindo Property and ordering the transfer of the mining concessions into Sulliden’s name, and the subsequent Court injunction obtained by Sulliden from the Civil Court of Lima on August 1, 2006 ordering the parties to comply with the Decision rendered by the Arbitration Tribunal. Therefore, Sulliden (Peru) is the sole and only official owner of the Shahuindo property and according to Peruvian laws is the only entity that can ask and obtain required permitting from the authorities in order to perform any mining related activities on that property. Is the legal battle really, really, really over? Having watched this battle drag out over the last 2-3 years, with more plot twists and turns than your average soap opera, we have to ask ourselves: is this “really” the end? The decision of the Arbitration Tribunal is final and unappealable. There is only one tactic that the counterparty might try, and that is to get the whole process of arbitration declared invalid. And Sulliden’s legal team have advised them that such action is very seldom (<1%) successful. That’s a small risk we are willing to take, on top of the usual risks of an advanced exploration story (e.g. proving project economics, permitting & construction, etc.) Stock Rating: ��Buy (Speculative) 12-month target ��$1.35 Potential ROR 52% Company Profile Sector Gold Ticker SUE - T Shares O/S, basic (m) 70.8 Shares O/S, diluted (m) 72.0 Mkt cap, basic (C$m) $63.0 Mkt cap, FD (C$m) $64.1 Key Metrics Cash/sh (C$) $0.12 Working Cap/sh (C$) $0.11 Debt/sh (C$) $0.00 Per share amounts are per (itm) diluted share Analyst Don Blyth (416) 360-3461 dblyth@paradigmcapinc.com Sr. Analyst Don MacLean (416) 360-3459 dmaclean@paradigmcapinc.com Sales Toronto (866) 361-1064 Calgary (877) 513-1025 Paradigm Capital research is available on First Call, Reuters, or at https://www.paradigmcap.com Refer to last page for official disclaimer Issued by Paradigm Capital Inc. Sulliden 1-Year stock price chart 0.40 0.50 0.60 0.70 0.80 0.90 1.00 1.10 1.20 1.30 19-Sep-05 19-Oct-05 19-Nov-05 19-Dec-05 19-Jan-06 19-Feb-06 19-Mar-06 19-Apr-06 19-May-06 19-Jun-06 19-Jul-06 19-Aug-06 19-Sep-06 C$ 09/20/06 Rec. and target raised ($1.35) 03/04/06 Initiated coverage ($3.50) Source: Bloomberg Don Blyth, Analyst, (416) 360-3461 2 Don Maclean, Sr. Analyst, (416) 360-3459 September 20, 2006 Next Steps Despite the fact that Sulliden never left the property, it must file with the Ministry of Mines for a new exploration program, and obtain permits for drilling. It must also secure surface rights if it is planning on drilling in areas which it does not already own the rights. Sulliden expects to file the documents in the next couple of weeks, after which permits are usually issued within 60 days. Based on this timeframe, Sulliden believes it should be back on the property with a new drilling campaign by year-end. The company has recently completed a financing, so has roughly $7m in working capital, which will allow this program to begin as soon as the permits and equipment can be secured. Upgrade to Speculative Buy This property already has a 43-101 compliant resource of 1.5 Moz of gold at an average grade of 0.85 g/t Au and 35.2 Moz of silver at an average grade of 19.83 g/t Ag, for a total gold equivalent of 2.1 Moz. We would normally consider US$50/oz a conservative valuation for 43-101 compliant resources-in-the-ground. To be a bit more conservative, we’ll deduct 25% from this to allow for the chance that the counterparty to the legal action dreaming up some challenge we (nor Sulliden’s legal team) haven’t considered. That would suggest a value of US$78.8m or ~C$1.23/sh. To this we add the current working capital of C$0.11/sh, to arrive at a valuation of C$1.34/sh. While there are certainly still risks related to the Shahuindo property, we are pleased to see the risk related to the ownership reduce to close-to-zero (say 1-in-100 that the legal counterparty will regain them). Now the company can get back to worrying about proving up the economics of the resources, converting them into reserves, and figuring out how to develop the property. We are raising our rating to Speculative Buy (was Hold) and our target price to $1.35 (was $0.80). Don Blyth, Analyst, (416) 360-3461 3 Don Maclean, Sr. Analyst, (416) 360-3459 September 20, 2006 Disclaimer Section: 1. Don Blyth does not have an ownership position in Sulliden Exploration (SUE-T). 2. Don MacLean does not have an ownership position in Sulliden Exploration (SUE-T) 3. Paradigm’s disclosure policies and research distribution procedures can be found on our website at www.paradigmcapinc.com. Research Rating System: Paradigm Capital uses the following rating recommendations in its research: Strong Buy – Analysts’ top sector picks, with expected returns of 10% or more over the next 6-12 months. (3% of Paradigm’s coverage list consists of Strong Buy recommendations). Buy – Expected returns of 10% or more over the next 6-12 months. (71% of Paradigm’s coverage list consists of Buy recommendations). Hold – Expected returns of +/-10% over the next 6-12 months. (11% of Paradigm’s coverage list consists of Hold recommendations). Sell – Expected returns of –10% or more over the next 6-12 months. (3% of Paradigm’s coverage list consists of Sell recommendations). Speculative Buy – Expected returns of 10% or more over the next 6-12 months on high-risk development or “pre-revenue” companies, such as junior mining and early stage biotech companies. (12% of Paradigm’s coverage list consists of Speculative Buy recommendations). About Paradigm Capital Inc. Paradigm Capital is a research driven, independent, institutional equity investment dealer focused on sectors and companies that have attractive long-term secular growth prospects. Paradigm Capital’s research is available on our website at www.paradigmcap.com. Please speak to your Sales or Trading Representative if you require access to the website. The analyst (and associate) certify that the views expressed in this report accurately reflect their personal views about the subject securities or issuers. No part of their compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations expressed in this research report. Analysts are compensated through a combined base salary and bonus payout system. The bonus payout is determined by revenues generated directly or indirectly from various departments including Investment Banking, based on a system that includes the following criteria: reports generated, timeliness, performance of recommendations, knowledge of industry, quality of research and investment guidance and client feedback. Analysts are not directly compensated for specific Investment Banking transactions. The opinions, estimates and projections contained herein are those of Paradigm Capital Inc. (“PCI”) as of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. PCI makes every effort to ensure that the contents herein have been compiled or derived from sources believed reliable and contain information and opinions, which are accurate and complete. However, PCI makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, in respect thereof, takes no responsibility for any errors and omissions which may be contained herein and accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of or reliance on this research report or its contents. Information may be available to PCI, which is not reflected herein. This research report is not to be construed as, an offer to sell or solicitation for or an offer to buy, any securities. PCI, its affiliates and/or their respective officers, directors or employees may from time to time acquire, hold or sell securities mentioned herein as principal or agent. PCI may act as financial advisor and/or underwriter for certain of the corporations mentioned herein and may receive remuneration for same. Paradigm Capital Inc. is a member of The Toronto Stock Exchange, The TSX Venture Exchange and The Investment Dealers Association of Canada. To U.S. Residents: Paradigm Capital U.S. Inc., affiliate of PCI, accepts responsibility for the contents herein, subject to the terms as set out above. Any U.S. person wishing to effect transactions in any security discussed herein should do so through Paradigm Capital U.S. Inc. This report was prepared by Paradigm Capital Inc. which is not subject to U.S. rules with regard to the preparation of research reports and the independence of analysts.
Bullboard Posts