intteresting contrarianthese are comments from a tout site that i plucked from another board....given barrick's recent Rio tinto 'takeout'...wonder who ends up on the shortend..
one has to be highly alerted to anyone with decent drill results therein.
Barrick Gold is also biased.
Do you want to know how bias works in the financial industry?Watch the movie, "Waiting", about shenanigans taking place at arestaurant. At one point, the manager is instructing his waiters andgiving them a pep talk before the shift starts and he says, "Push the fish(on the customers), it's about to turn (go bad, and spoil)."
I've done similar; it's most economic to sell a stock when it ispeaking, when it's ripe, before it goes bad and goes down, such as when alarge private placement is about to come free trading. But numeroustimes, I've quietly sold stocks long after a promotion, when I could tellthat things were not working out at the company as I had expected them towhen I wrote about them. That way is more honest.
Getting back to Barrick Gold's bias. Lately, they've been sayingthat they have no "company" hedges. But it's a half truth.They do have "project" hedges of over 9 million ounces on theirChile/Argentina project that might never be developed. Most of thosehedges were put on at about $350/oz. Looks like those hedges are nowat a $5.4 billion loss with gold now at $950.
How is Barrick going to close out those hedges? How canthey? They are not making that much money. And they can'traise the capital to close out the hedges by selling shares to the market,not since bragging to the market that they have no hedges! Their"distortion of the truth" will come back to haunt them.
I understand that many of you might own Barrick stock. So did I,back in 1999, and I sold it within 6 months. Anytime you move yourmoney into a new sector, sometimes it's wise to buy the biggest stocksfirst, just to get exposure to the sector very quickly. But at somepoint, you have to do your research, and figure out what might bebetter. Barrick is a loser. Sell Barrick. Take yourmoney, and buy the junior stocks that Barrick needs to buy replace theirdwindling reserves.
You should buy the juniors before Barrick, or another major miner buysthem.
One junior gold miner has moved from a new exploration to production inless than two years, which is a phenomenal achievement for such a tinymarket cap of a paltry $9.5 million. The company has been overlookedby nearly everyone, as the stock trades at $.50/share, and they areproducing over $1 million of high grade 1/4 oz./tonne gold annually.They just started shipping gold this January. But it's their copperdiscovery that caused me to buy the stock. They hit 41% copper over27 feet! They have not yet begun to process the copper, but whenthey do, I expect this stock to move up significantly. The realbenefit here is that this company is not likely to dilute the shares toexpand production; since they are making money now.
The company does not have a 43-101 report, but with such high grades,they decided to skip the expensive exploration, and just get right tomining it. Their deposit is open at depth, which means they mightjust keep on mining and following what they find.
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