New estimates....Factoring the new position in Franc-Or, the increased investment in Avion, and assuming full conversion of Largo and valuing the current LGO in the money warrants, by my calculation methods the fair value of Aberdeen's public investments is now ~$61,353,767 million.
I believe they also have roughly ~$16.4 million left in cash, subtracting out investments
(since the last claimed a cash position of $27.6M at 2/29 in the investor presentation) of
$ 2M in Sulliden
$ 2M in Magma
$ 4.5M loan to Largo
$ 200K in Franc-Or
$ 2.5M increase in Avion
That's $0.598 per share in the value of our public investments and ~$.16 per share still left in cash.
Private investments have a book value of at least $.06 a share.
The gold royalty was last reported at ~$.45 a share (though this should be SIGNIFICANTLY revalued higher now with Simmers resource expansion).
That's ~$1.27 per share in NAV (and I think this is conservative - gold royalty is probably worth considerably more, public AND private investments have VERY solid upside potential from here imho, I'm only valuing in the money warrants, and they've still got another $16M cash which they'll probably end up turning into $25M+ easily) - no surprise AAB remains my largest holding...
I can't imagine more than $.20 a share in liabilities - even with the sizeable capital gains taxes they are facing. My guess is total NAV (subtracting liabilities) is now pushing $1.10 - if not higher.
By my calculation the value of Aberdeen's portfolio was actually up this week nearly 4% - compare this with the mere ~1% gain in the Venture, ~2% gain in the TSX, and ~4% collapse in the S&P 500.
Again, the more I uncover about Aberdeen, the more and more I like it.
P.S. The Venture has finished in the green on a day when the S&P 500 was down more the -2.5% in the last FIVE years - well except for FRIDAY.
Hugely bullish for the Venture imho... HUGELY.