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Orsu Metals Corp V.OSU.H

Orsu Metals Corporation is a Canada-based company. The Company is engaged in discussions and evaluating a number of potential acquisitions with concurrent equity financing with the aim of moving the Company forward.


TSXV:OSU.H - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Post by amarkspon Sep 23, 2008 7:44pm
449 Views
Post# 15479496

OSU Projections-Omni

OSU Projections-OmniOmni, could you give me your comments on these projections please...

It has been so long since OSU has offered cost guidance that I am having to rely upon old presentations and other sources.  Any comments would be appreciated...

EPM Cash Flow Last 4 Mo 1Q 2009 Full Yr 2009
Tonnes Mined 5,500,000 22,000,000
Treatment Tonnes 980,000 1,050,000 4,200,000
LGCF Gold Oz 20,930 83,719
HGCF Gold Oz 14,373 57,491
Total Gold Oz 29,000 35,303 141,210
Copper lbs. 3,500,000 7,500,000 30,000,000
Gold Oz Equivalent @ $710 46,059 66,993 267,971
POG (50% hedge @ $574) $710.00 $710.00 $710.00
POC $3.00 $3.00 $3.00
Gold Revenue 20,590,000 25,064,775 100,259,100
Copper Revenue 10,500,000 22,500,000 90,000,000
Total Revenue 31,090,000 47,564,775 190,259,100
Cash Cost Per Tonne +20% $21.60 $21.60 $21.60
Mine Cash Costs 21,168,000 22,680,000 90,720,000
G&A Cash Costs +100% 2,000,000 2,100,000 8,400,000
Gold Royalty @ 1.2%/$715 392,425 574,797 2,299,187
Copper Royalty @ 1% 105,000 225,000 900,000
Total Cash Costs 23,665,425 25,579,797 102,319,187
Operating Cash Margin 7,424,575 21,984,978 87,939,913
Shares 457,000,000 457,000,000 457,000,000
CFPS Annualized $0.05 $0.19 $0.19
Cash Cost Per Gold Eq Oz Prod $459.58 $338.54 $338.54
Share Price $0.22 $0.22 $0.22
Share Price/Cash Flow 4.5 1.1 1.1

_____________________
Assumptions:
980,000 Tonnes for Last 4 Months 2008 = 4.2M/3 to covert for 4 months * 70% capacity average
1Q09 is optimistic given that it is winter and OSU is still ramping up
50% of Production Hedged @ $575 & 50% @ $845 Market = $710 POG
Mine Cost Per Tonne = $18 Per Tonne per 2007 Denver Gold Presentation + 20%=$21.60
G&A Costs = $2 Per Tonne (Per 2007 Denver Gold Presentation)
G&A Costs hopefully cover Exploration Expense for 2008
Bullboard Posts