GREY:ROAOF - Post by User
Post by
stealth21on Jan 01, 2009 4:08pm
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Post# 15676554
Not a basher or a pumper
Not a basher or a pumperThis is my take on things. It is not normal to release a nr like this when crude oil is moving north. Somebody was worried that share price would increase rapidly over 1dollar. Crude closed +5$ on the day of the nr. Trading pattern before the nr was going to break 1.00. Management could not be reached until January 5th? but released a nr before the new year. Abu Dhabi has enough spare change to buy Oilexco, but I don't think politically this is possible. Everyone knew that bankruptcy was an option, so the nr is no surprise. I wonder who picked up the majority of 60m shares. Companies looking to increase their production would get Oilexco for 1TENTH their value. If this goes bankrupt its a bidding war for the assets will cost more than a buyout. On the other hand maybe they wanted to put pressure on potential buyers. I work as a commercial lender, I would never lend somebody 47m If know that I won't get it back. In my opinion their are different buyout offers out there, the right price in my opinion is $1.30. At this price somebody that is not mentioned could scoop up Oilexco. Oilexco has to renegotiate their contracts for the time being, oil should be in the 50-60$ by the year end. I'm not recommending to buy or sell, this is the way I see things.