We have revised our near-term gold and silver price forecasts upwards
to reflect the strong precious metals environment. The net impact of
these pricing revisions is a slight increase in our estimate of NAVPS (5%)
to C$2.34, up from C$2.30 per share previously. We have also adjusted
our peak gold price forecast to US$1100 per ounce, up from US$950/oz
previously. Based on our revised peak gold pricing scenario, our target
NAVPS has increased to C$2.52, up from C$2.40. M&A activity in the
mining sector has increased and a slew of equity offerings have
bolstered the balance sheets of larger-cap mining companies.
Silverstone is the most inexpensive precious metal royalty company in
our coverage universe. Therefore, we believe that an acquisition bid on
the company is likely. To account for a potential acquisition bid, we are
increasing our target multiple to 1.0x NAV, up from 0.8x previously.
This gives us a new target price of C$2.50 per share, up from C$2.00
per share. We maintain our SPECULATIVE BUY recommendation on the
shares of Silverstone.