RE: Somethings are opinion others fact -How about this fact - over the past 4 weeks total crude and petroleum stocks have declined by 17.5 million bbls. Or this one - last year from July to August (when the world was panicked we couldn't pump enough oil, stocks increased by 12.5 M bbls, this year they will probably decline by about 18-20 M bbls.
So the comment "so demand has not, thus far, exceeded supply" in refernce to the driving season is not a fact, but rather an opinion, and an opinion that is not backed up by the facts.
My opinion. The original poster was right. The market is not about where we are, its about where we are heading. Oil price is about where total stocks are going, not where they are. Oil stocks have not nearly priced in $70 oil yet.