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Connacher Oil & Gas Ltd CLLZF

"Connacher Oil and Gas Ltd is an oil company engaged in the exploration and development, production and marketing of bitumen. Connacher holds two producing projects at Great Divide are known as Pod One and Algar."


GREY:CLLZF - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Post by leveraged1on Jan 14, 2010 8:16am
657 Views
Post# 16677137

Partner asset purchase - Discount NAV

Partner asset purchase - Discount NAV
Dear Wellisitter -
 Please correct me if I'm wrong - but you are talking about a potential partner purchasing a portion of CLL assets at a "premium" while I am talking about such a purchase at a "discount"
I expect we must be talking about different things because - I don't believe anyone would ever consider buying 
Connachers assets at a premium to its net asset value (NAV) which the London presentation translates into a share equivalent value of $4.64. 
If I am not mistaken this full (undiscounted) NAV includes the value of reserves of the company that are neither connected to POD 1 or Algar ( in fact CLL is currently spending big $ right now proving up more of these unconnected reserves). Reserves that will require a large amount of money to be thrown at before they can
in any meaningful way be considered an asset of the company. By way of example - my grandfather owned a gold mine that had enormous proven gold deposits - unfortunately they were located at the bottom in the middle of a sizeable lake. By the time one DISOUNTED the total cost of drilling through solid granite to get there the REAL value of the gold assets - was substantially deminished. The only difference is in our case - it is not the cost of drilling through granite that has to be DISCOUNTED but rather the cost of creating a lot of steam on a very consistant basis in one of the coldest environments on earth. 
So unless the NAV of $4.64 is properly DISCOUNTED it has no real meaning. The question for the potential buyer of a portion of CLL assets is not - whether the NAV should be discounted or not - but rather - how much it should be discounted.
 A premium, as you suggest, to my mind is totally out of the question. I would love nothing more than to be completely wrong on this issue - if I am please tell me why...     
Bullboard Posts