RealityCTE showing exceptional relative strength up 4.5 % on a day the DOW/TSX got whacked. TSX -256 DOW -265
Here is the relevent DD.
Tullow is UK's biggest if you are unfamiliar.
Here is the news from Aug 4. Centric Energy reaches deal with Tullow for farm-in.
CENTRIC ENERGY ANNOUNCES AGREEMENT WITH TULLOW OIL TO FARM-IN TO KENYA BLOCK 10BA
Pursuant to the letter agreement, Tullow will earn a 50-per-cent participating interest in the PSC and will assume operatorship in return for:
- Reimbursing 50 per cent of Centric Energy's acquisition costs for the PSC which total approximately $750,000;
- Paying 80 per cent of the first $30-million (U.S.) of expenditures under the PSC;
Here is the full release
https://ca.news.finance.yahoo.com/s/04082010/28/link-f-ccnmatthews-centric-energy-announces-agreement-tullow-oil-farm-kenya.html
So 80% of 30 million = 24 million + $375,000 for 50% of ONE field. That is a 24.4 million dollar committment. If you take the fully diluted share structure of CTE = 73.4 million shares issued + 18.7 million warrants = about 92 million. Multiply that by the closing price of .22 = 20.2 million market cap. So the market cap of the entire company is less than the $ value Tullow has agreed too (not enitrely accurate gauge but a starting point). CTE also own two nice blocks in Mali..blocks 7 and 11.
So the warrants 18 million + with .12 strike....but there is a condition Can be accelerated if closing market share price exceeds C
.20 for 10 consecutive trading days. They only have a few million in treasury and today was day five over .20. 5 more days and they can call the warrants for 2.25 million...which I think the cash is already being raised in the market to do so. Plus they get another 800k when Tullow pays them back from the original farm in.
Apparently Kenyan minister is onside.
The next milestones = 3-5 weeks Tullow signs off on deal.....Kenyan ministerial approval.....exchange approval....then announcement of joint exploration plans on the Kenyan block.
There is a National Instrument 51-101 on the Kenyan block showing a best estimate of 2.2 billion prospective barrels of oil resource to a high estimate of 4.3 billion. If you look at ACG news dated july 20th they had a best estimate of 6.4 billion barrels in an area where recoveries can prove more challenging. Market cap is much higher.
Here is the CTE 51-101
https://www.centricenergy.com/fileadmin/user_upload/Corporate_News_Releases/Centric_-_Kenya_10BA_-_51-101_Report.pdf
Lastly we have news the Sheldon Inwentash is still busy accumulating this stock. You can bet he was the Anonymous trader buying all of the paper at .30 on Thursday. It never hurts to have Pinetree on your side. News available and early warning on stockwatch.
https://www.pinetreecapital.com/company/info/
Looks like CTE is finding a bottom to me.