However don’t hold out for a white knight Vale is the
only company that has the firepower and appetite to compete
for PCS and after the mess their takeover of Inco has
caused Prime Minister Harper would be committing political
suicide if he didn’t stop a Vale takeover of another major
Canadian asset. While investors may be rooting around
for the next takeover, the surest way to make money after
one these multi-billion dollar pure plays are gobbled up is
to position yourself for the back draft created in the Canadian
market. Upwards of $43 billion of capital is currently
tied up in Potash Corp all of it wants to be invested in fertilizer
and exposed to agriculture. After the company is swallowed
into BHP a diversified mega-miner most of that capital
will be looking for a new home. The purchase of Inco
made Sherritt and FNX Mining must have equities for institutional
investors across Canada, in the same Rio Algom
then Noranda/Falconbride, was a boon for shareholders of
First Quantum and Teck Resources. Even more recently
Red Back Mining’s merger with Kinross has institutions
scrambling for a new exposure to West African gold in
names like Semafo, Keegan and Golden Star. At Amazon
we want to position ourselves as an emerging potash producer
worthy of some of that capital as investors look for
new ways to participate in fertilizer and agriculture.”