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SDX ENERGY INC SDRYF

"SDX Energy Inc is a Canadian company which is engaged in the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas. The company owns an interest in several producing concessions such as NW Gemsa Concession, Block-H Meseda production, South Ramadan Concession, South Disouq Concession, Sebou Concession. Its exploration concession includes Lalla Mimouna Concession and Gharb Centre Concession."


GREY:SDRYF - Post by User

Bullboard Posts
Comment by gonecodeon Aug 27, 2010 10:37am
343 Views
Post# 17389348

RE: Numbers look good to me. HMMM Stock @ .25

RE: Numbers look good to me. HMMM Stock @ .25Thanks for the numbers ............I welcome other views for sure and you made great points

I see where you are going ..............BUT .............My concern is ....

Even from the sdx website you can see their NETBACKS are $13.28 average and costs around $7.68 a barrel.
Page 22

Now you are correct that costs are split 50/50  and SDX has a cost recovery advantage but your NUMBERS

WOW!!!

Good Luck is all I can say...............
You will see next 1/4 Financial the burn rate and problems coming.. Cash is being burned Faster than THOUGHT.

The expenses are also pointed out ...Page 20.

See they expect to Spend 24 Million this year and 24 Million next and so on for a hit of 80 Million in 4 years.

Very aggressive ............................Problem is ...

THE WELLS.........you state they will have over 5500 BOPD .........In a  year

Ok Go with that...............
That is 11,000 BOPD total  1000 from Gemsa and 50% to SDX of the 10,000 with Dana Approx for easy of numbers 
So with the average well at less than 200 BOPD so far(do not estimate what they do not have or found please)

They need 50 wells to get there(100 Million $$$).......Sure maybe some side wells and ETC but .......'
That is another 40 million to SDX as the have 11 wells already and NO CASH POSITIVE RESULTS.
Still way under 2000 BOPD

These wells are coming WAY UNDER what they thought.  HENCE THE STOCK PRICE   .25 cents today

They don't have that kind of $$$$$$$$$$$$  even their half to continue drilling that many wells.....
MORE DEBT AND SHARES REQUIRED

And check those NETBACK numbers..................Where did it say their payout you got the numbers from............
It is not stated...As you stated.....It gets complex with Recovery allowances and such...

Other than the average Netback so be careful ............Costs eat most of that as you can see.

Your numbers assume MUCH...............5500 BOPD next year..............I think not......
Unless they hit some BIG ONES....................But then assupltions again...

Go with what they have now...Best well FRAC is 300 BOPD..........some are under 175 Bopd


Good Luck
Bullboard Posts

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