re: trying to find a baseOk I'll take a shot at technical analysis. Normally I use technical analysis for daytrading, but I'll take a shot for the trend interpretation.
Since the bullish harami (candlestick pattern) formed Oct 20, the SP has trended up nicely on the daily chart with some volatility or up and down movement. Just today, however, the RSI has moved into oversold territory. Watch for the RSI on daily charts to rise over 30 and the possibility for a STRONG uptrend is there.
Just a shot,
TECHMECH