TSXV:AAA.P - Post by User
Post by
Karmanowon Jan 25, 2011 5:49am
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Post# 18021248
"Pounds In The Ground = AAA at $1.90"
"Pounds In The Ground = AAA at $1.90"I was asked earlier how I came up with $3.25 per proven and probalble "ton in the ground."
K + S Germany bought Potash One for $431 million dollars. Potash One has an NI Resource Estimate for 135.8 million tons of Proven and Probable KCL. So, $431 / 135.8 =
$3.17 per ton....
So the $3.17 becomes the most recent deal paid for potash and thus becomes the benchmark for what a hostile take over deal is worth to a junior going forward.
So the Valuation for “Pounds In The Ground” for Allana assume: (44.70 Measured + 356.32 Indicated) = 401.00 Million Tons x 21.5% KCL = 86.20 million tons KCL x $3.25 per ton = $280 million value NAV / 147 million shares =
$1.90 per share NAV in April 2011 with the completion of the pending NI Resource Estimate
Hope this helps understand the formula that I used.
Karma.
NI Resource Estimate: Table 3. Mineral Resources and Mineral Reserves on Crown and Leased Freehold Lands For Potash One |
Classification | Grade (% KCl) | Recoverable Tonnage of KCl (Mt) |
Inferred Resource | 26.88 | 859.4 |
Indicated Resource | 27.05 | 80.1 |
Proven Reserves | 28.55 | 27.3 |
Probable Reserves | 28.96 | 108.5 |
Total Reserves | 28.88 | 135.9 |